Railo Mikael, Lundin Johan, Haglund Caj, von Smitten Karl, Nordling Stig
Department of Surgery, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Tumour Biol. 2007;28(1):45-51. doi: 10.1159/000097702. Epub 2006 Dec 1.
The aim of the present study was to evaluate a series of biomarkers with regard to long-term prognostic value in patients with T1 (< or =2 cm) node-negative breast cancer.
The prognostic value of Ki-67, p53, oestrogen receptor (ER) immunohistochemical labelling, flow-cytometric S phase fraction and ploidy was evaluated in 212 patients with pT1N0M0 breast cancer. The median follow-up time was 15.9 years (range 0.2-27.2 years).
In an analysis of breast cancer-specific survival up to 5 years, high Ki-67 (> or =10%; p = 0.002), high p53 (> or =20%; p = 0.01), negative ER (<30%; p = 0.01) as well as aneuploidy of the tumour (p = 0.02) were significant prognostic factors. When the follow-up was extended to 10 years, only Ki-67 (p = 0.03) was significantly associated with outcome and beyond 15 years none of the studied markers provided significant prognostic information when analyzed separately. There was a weak but significant difference in long-term survival when patients with a combination of high Ki-67 (> or =10%), high SPF (>3%) and high p53 (> or =20%) were compared to patients with other combinations (p = 0.03).
According to the results of our series, it seems that several prognostic markers which are associated with short-term survival (< or =5 years) in pT1N0M0 breast cancer may not be significant predictors of long-term (>15 years) breast cancer-specific survival.
本研究旨在评估一系列生物标志物对T1期(≤2 cm)淋巴结阴性乳腺癌患者的长期预后价值。
对212例pT1N0M0乳腺癌患者的Ki-67、p53、雌激素受体(ER)免疫组化标记、流式细胞术检测的S期细胞分数和倍体的预后价值进行评估。中位随访时间为15.9年(范围0.2 - 27.2年)。
在长达5年的乳腺癌特异性生存分析中,高Ki-67(≥10%;p = 0.002)、高p53(≥20%;p = 0.01)、阴性ER(<30%;p = 0.01)以及肿瘤非整倍体(p = 0.02)是显著的预后因素。当随访延长至10年时,只有Ki-67(p = 0.03)与预后显著相关,而在15年以上时,单独分析时所研究的标志物均未提供显著的预后信息。将高Ki-67(≥10%)、高S期细胞分数(>3%)和高p53(≥20%)组合的患者与其他组合的患者相比,长期生存率存在微弱但显著的差异(p = 0.03)。
根据我们系列研究的结果,似乎pT1N0M0乳腺癌中与短期生存(≤5年)相关的几种预后标志物可能不是长期(>15年)乳腺癌特异性生存的显著预测指标。