Willis Brian H, Sur Shyamaly D
Emergency Department, Horton Hospital, Oxford Radcliffe Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxon, UK.
Eur J Emerg Med. 2007 Feb;14(1):6-13. doi: 10.1097/01.mej.0000224438.74493.fa.
To assess the accuracy of Senior House Officers at interpreting plain X-rays following their triage by radiographers in an emergency department.
We collected 2593 patients' records by systematic sampling of all those seen by emergency physicians between January 2002 and April 2002 (ca 10 000 patients) in a UK emergency department. The variables recorded included evidence of X-ray investigations and, when present, the Senior House Officer's diagnosis, the presence (abnormal) or absence of a radiographers red dot and the reference standard diagnosis. A separate category of uncertain (inconclusive) was applied to the Senior House Officer and reference standard diagnosis where appropriate. Diagnostic performance was measured by likelihood ratios with associated pre-test and post-test probabilities.
Including the uncertain category as abnormal gave the following results: there were 967 X-rays and those with a red dot had a probability of an abnormality of 80%. Although a further opinion of abnormal by a Senior House Officer increased this probability to 89% when they overrode the red dot opinion of the radiographer, it was incorrect in 26% of cases.
Currently, the Senior House Officer contributes to the red dot system by improving on the radiographer in rates of diagnosis of both abnormal and normal X-rays. Further reductions in error rates, however, are unlikely to be achieved until there is a change to the existing system. This may ultimately involve removing some of the responsibility of X-ray interpretation from the Senior House Officer. Any future research should consider the methodological issues highlighted by this study.
评估住院医师在急诊科经放射技师分诊后解读普通X光片的准确性。
我们通过系统抽样收集了2002年1月至2002年4月期间(约10000名患者)在英国一家急诊科就诊的所有患者的2593份病历。记录的变量包括X光检查的证据,若有,则包括住院医师的诊断、放射技师红点标记(异常)的存在与否以及参考标准诊断。在适当情况下,对住院医师和参考标准诊断应用单独的不确定(无定论)类别。通过似然比及相关的验前概率和验后概率来衡量诊断性能。
将不确定类别计为异常得出以下结果:共有967份X光片,有红点标记的片子异常概率为80%。尽管当住院医师推翻放射技师的红点判断并进一步诊断为异常时,该概率增至89%,但在26%的病例中此判断是错误的。
目前,住院医师通过在诊断正常和异常X光片的比率方面优于放射技师,对红点系统有一定贡献。然而,在现有系统改变之前,错误率不太可能进一步降低。这最终可能涉及将X光片解读的部分责任从住院医师身上移除。未来的任何研究都应考虑本研究突出的方法学问题。