Narayan Paresh Kumar
Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Griffith Business School, Queensland, Australia.
Health Econ. 2007 Oct;16(10):993-1008. doi: 10.1002/hec.1196.
In this paper, we examine the 'catch-up' hypothesis, that is, whether or not per capita health expenditures of the UK, Canada, Japan, Switzerland, and Spain converge to the per capita health expenditures of the USA over the period 1960-2000. We propose a framework to examine convergence of health expenditures and use recent developments in unit root testing, namely the Lagrange multiplier univariate and panel approaches that allow for at most two structural breaks. Our main finding is that while univariate and panel tests that do not incorporate structural breaks fail to find evidence of convergence, univariate and panel LM tests that allow for structural breaks find strong evidence of convergence of per capita health expenditures of the UK, Canada, Japan, Switzerland, and Spain to that of the USA.
在本文中,我们检验了“追赶”假说,即英国、加拿大、日本、瑞士和西班牙的人均卫生支出在1960年至2000年期间是否会趋向于美国的人均卫生支出。我们提出了一个检验卫生支出趋同的框架,并运用了单位根检验的最新进展,即允许最多两个结构断点的拉格朗日乘数单变量和面板方法。我们的主要发现是,虽然未纳入结构断点的单变量和面板检验未能找到趋同的证据,但允许结构断点的单变量和面板拉格朗日乘数检验找到了英国、加拿大、日本、瑞士和西班牙的人均卫生支出趋向于美国的有力证据。