Gohlke Helmut, Winter Moritz, Karoff Marthin, Held Klaus
Klinische Kardiologie II, Herz-Zentrum, Bad Krozingen, Germany.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil. 2007 Feb;14(1):141-8. doi: 10.1097/01.hjr.0000244581.30421.69.
Risk stratification is important for decisions about the intensity of treatment in primary prevention. Risk factors and lifestyle factors are responsible for over 80% of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, body mass index (BMI), physical activity and smoking (cigarettes/day) are not or not quantitatively represented in the risk stratification system.
CARdiovascular RISk MAnagement (CARRISMA) is a software program considering the prognostic impact of BMI, physical activity and cigarettes per day adjusted for age and sex based on multivariate regression analyses from the literature on top of one of the three major scores to improve risk stratification. The 10-year European Society of Cardiology Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) cardiovascular mortality risk for an intermediate risk region, e.g. increases from 3 to 6% by considering smoking of 30 cigarettes per day instead of just 'smoking' and by taking into account a BMI of 34. Whereas the 10-year ESC cardiovascular mortality risk of a 55-year-old active individual decreases from 5 to 3%, by considering a physical activity equivalent of 2100 kcal/week, the Framingham or PROspective CArdiovascular Münster (PROCAM) risks change accordingly.
CARRISMA facilitates the application of knowledge of the current literature in the individual patient in a user-friendly manner allowing a more detailed and yet time-efficient risk stratification and risk management in primary prevention, particularly in the intermediate risk range.
风险分层对于初级预防中治疗强度的决策至关重要。风险因素和生活方式因素导致了超过80%的心血管疾病发病率和死亡率。然而,体重指数(BMI)、身体活动和吸烟量(每天吸烟支数)在风险分层系统中未被体现或未被定量表示。
心血管风险管理(CARRISMA)是一个软件程序,基于文献中的多变量回归分析,在三大主要评分之一的基础上,考虑了根据年龄和性别调整后的BMI、身体活动和每日吸烟量的预后影响,以改善风险分层。例如,对于中度风险区域,考虑每天吸30支烟而非仅考虑“吸烟”并纳入BMI为34的情况后,欧洲心脏病学会10年系统性冠状动脉风险评估(SCORE)心血管死亡风险从3%增加到6%。而对于一名55岁的活跃个体,考虑到相当于每周2100千卡的身体活动量后,其10年欧洲心脏病学会心血管死亡风险从5%降至3%,弗雷明汉风险或明斯特前瞻性心血管研究(PROCAM)风险也相应改变。
CARRISMA以用户友好的方式促进了当前文献知识在个体患者中的应用,允许在初级预防中进行更详细且高效的风险分层和风险管理,特别是在中度风险范围内。