Hubben G A A, Bos J M, Glynn D M, van der Ende A, van Alphen L, Postma M J
Social Pharmacy, Pharmacoepidemiology & Pharmacotherapy, University of Groningen, and Base-Case, Healthcare Decision Support, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Vaccine. 2007 May 4;25(18):3669-78. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2007.01.088. Epub 2007 Feb 5.
We have developed a web-based user-interface (web interface) to enhance the usefulness of health-economic evaluations to support decision making (http://pcv.healtheconomics.nl). It allows the user to interact with a health-economic model to evaluate predefined and customized scenarios and perform sensitivity analysis. To explore its usefulness, it was applied to an evaluation of cost-effectiveness of nation-wide infant vaccination with the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7), that was used to support a policy decision on the inclusion of PCV7 in the national vaccination program (NVP) of the Netherlands. We used a decision-tree analytic model to project the impact of infant vaccination with four doses of PCV7 on an annual cohort of infants born in the Netherlands. The base-case analysis includes the beneficial effects on unvaccinated individuals (herd protection). Additional scenarios varying the number of doses, discount rate for effects and the number of serotypes in the vaccine were evaluated and can be analysed on the web. Our model projects a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (iCER) of euro14,000 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 9,800-20,200) per quality adjusted life year (QALY) or euro15,600 (95% UI: 11,100-23,900) per life year gained (LYG).
我们开发了一个基于网络的用户界面(网络界面),以提高健康经济评估对决策的支持作用(http://pcv.healtheconomics.nl)。它允许用户与健康经济模型进行交互,以评估预定义和定制的情景,并进行敏感性分析。为了探究其有用性,我们将其应用于对全国范围内使用7价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV7)进行婴儿疫苗接种的成本效益评估,该评估用于支持荷兰将PCV7纳入国家疫苗接种计划(NVP)的政策决策。我们使用决策树分析模型来预测对荷兰每年出生的婴儿队列接种4剂PCV7的影响。基础案例分析包括对未接种疫苗个体的有益影响(群体保护)。还评估了改变剂量数量、效果贴现率和疫苗血清型数量的其他情景,并且可以在网络上进行分析。我们的模型预测,基础案例的增量成本效益比(iCER)为每质量调整生命年(QALY)14,000欧元(95%不确定性区间(UI):9,800 - 20,200),或每获得的生命年(LYG)15,600欧元(95% UI:11,100 - 23,900)。