Hongbo Liu, Xiaohui Lv, Hong Kong, Wei Wang, Yong Zhang
Department of Biostatistics, China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, China.
Clin Biochem. 2007 May;40(8):562-6. doi: 10.1016/j.clinbiochem.2007.01.022. Epub 2007 Feb 20.
The purpose of this study was to determine the cut-offs of serum biomarkers of liver fibrosis in HBsAg-positive patients by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and to determine the validity of these markers in parallel and serial interpretation.
This study included 444 HBsAg-positive patients who had liver biopsy performed between January 1, 2003 and March 31, 2006. Some routine and clinical chemistry tests were run, and the stage of liver fibrosis was measured. The cut-offs of those markers were identified by using ROC curves. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values (both positive and negative), and the Youden's index of these markers were calculated in parallel and serial interpretation.
The 444 patients were divided into a training group (322 patients) and a validation group (122 patients). All markers except gender, HB and TP were found to be statistically significant factors associated with significant fibrosis in the training group. The AUROC of GGT, APRI, AGE-PLT and AST in the training group were 0.772, 0.769, 0.748 and 0.700, respectively, and their sensitivities in the validation group were 65.00%, 70.00%, 75.00% and 60.00%, respectively. In parallel interpretation, the highest sensitivity was 85.00% at AGE-PLT union or logical sum AST, and in serial interpretation, the best specificity was 96.34% at GGT intersection AGE-PLT.
A few routine and serum biomarkers can be used to effectively assess most patients with HBsAg-positive CHB with and without significant liver fibrosis in parallel and serial interpretation.
本研究旨在通过受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线确定HBsAg阳性患者肝纤维化血清生物标志物的临界值,并确定这些标志物在平行和系列解读中的有效性。
本研究纳入了444例在2003年1月1日至2006年3月31日期间接受肝活检的HBsAg阳性患者。进行了一些常规和临床化学检测,并测量了肝纤维化阶段。通过ROC曲线确定这些标志物的临界值。在平行和系列解读中计算了这些标志物的敏感性、特异性、预测值(阳性和阴性)以及约登指数。
444例患者被分为训练组(322例患者)和验证组(122例患者)。在训练组中,除性别、HB和TP外,所有标志物均被发现是与显著纤维化相关的统计学显著因素。训练组中GGT、APRI、AGE-PLT和AST的曲线下面积(AUROC)分别为0.772、0.769、0.748和0.700,其在验证组中的敏感性分别为65.00%、70.00%、75.00%和60.00%。在平行解读中,AGE-PLT联合或逻辑和AST时敏感性最高,为85.00%;在系列解读中,GGT与AGE-PLT交叉时特异性最佳,为96.34%。
一些常规血清生物标志物可用于在平行和系列解读中有效评估大多数HBsAg阳性慢性乙型肝炎患者有无显著肝纤维化。