Balia Silvia, Jones Andrew M
Dipartimento di Ricerche Economiche e Sociali, Universitá di Cagliari, viale S Ignazio, Cagliari, Italy.
J Health Econ. 2008 Jan;27(1):1-26. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2007.03.001. Epub 2007 Mar 18.
This paper uses the British Health and Lifestyle Survey (1984-1985) data and the longitudinal follow-up of May 2003 to investigate the determinants of premature mortality in Great Britain and the contribution of lifestyle choices to socio-economic inequality in mortality. A behavioural model, which relates premature mortality to a set of observable and unobservable factors, is considered. A maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) approach for a multivariate probit (MVP) is used to estimate a recursive system of equations for mortality, morbidity and lifestyles. Health inequality is explored using the Gini coefficient and a decomposition technique. The decomposition analysis for predicted mortality shows that, after allowing for endogeneity, lifestyles contribute strongly to inequality in mortality, reducing the direct role of socio-economic status. This contradicts the view, which is widely held in epidemiology, that lifestyles make a relatively minor contribution to observed socio-economic gradients in health.
本文使用英国健康与生活方式调查(1984 - 1985年)的数据以及2003年5月的纵向随访数据,来研究英国过早死亡的决定因素,以及生活方式选择对死亡率方面社会经济不平等的影响。我们考虑了一个行为模型,该模型将过早死亡与一系列可观测和不可观测的因素联系起来。采用多元概率单位(MVP)的最大模拟似然(MSL)方法,来估计死亡率、发病率和生活方式的递归方程组。使用基尼系数和一种分解技术来探究健康不平等。对预测死亡率的分解分析表明,在考虑了内生性之后,生活方式对死亡率不平等有很大影响,降低了社会经济地位的直接作用。这与流行病学中广泛持有的观点相矛盾,即生活方式对观察到的健康方面社会经济梯度的贡献相对较小。