Pickhardt Perry J, Hassan Cesare, Laghi Andrea, Zullo Angelo, Kim David H, Morini Sergio
Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin Medical School, Madison, Wisconsin 53792-3252, USA.
Cancer. 2007 Jun 1;109(11):2213-21. doi: 10.1002/cncr.22668.
Prior cost-effectiveness models analyzing computed tomography colonography (CTC) screening have assumed that patients with diminutive lesions (<or=5 mm) will be referred to optical colonoscopy (OC) for polypectomy. However, consensus guidelines for CTC recommend reporting only polyps measuring >or=6 mm. The purpose of the current study was to assess the potential harms, benefits, and cost-effectiveness of CTC screening without the reporting of diminutive lesions compared with other screening strategies.
The cost-effectiveness of screening with CTC (with and without a 6-mm reporting threshold), OC, and flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) were evaluated using a Markov model applied to a hypothetical cohort of 100,000 persons age 50 years.
The model predicted an overall cost per life-year gained relative to no screening of $4361, $7138, $7407, and $9180, respectively, for CTC with a 6-mm reporting threshold, CTC with no threshold, FS, and OC. The incremental costs associated with reporting diminutive lesions at the time of CTC amounted to $118,440 per additional life-year gained, whereas the incidence of colorectal cancer was reduced by only 1.3% (from 36.5% to 37.8%). Compared with primary OC screening, CTC with a 6-mm threshold resulted in a 77.6% reduction in invasive endoscopic procedures (39,374 compared with 175,911) and 1112 fewer reported OC-related complications from perforation or bleeding.
CTC with nonreporting of diminutive lesions was found to be the most cost-effective and safest screening option evaluated, thereby providing further support for this approach. Overall, the removal of diminutive lesions appears to carry an unjustified burden of costs and complications relative to the minimal gain in clinical efficacy.
先前分析计算机断层扫描结肠成像(CTC)筛查的成本效益模型假定,微小病变(≤5毫米)患者将被转诊至光学结肠镜检查(OC)进行息肉切除术。然而,CTC的共识指南建议仅报告直径≥6毫米的息肉。本研究的目的是评估与其他筛查策略相比,不报告微小病变的CTC筛查的潜在危害、益处和成本效益。
使用马尔可夫模型对100,000名50岁的假设队列进行评估,以评估CTC(有和没有6毫米报告阈值)、OC和乙状结肠镜检查(FS)筛查的成本效益。
该模型预测,相对于不进行筛查,每获得一个生命年的总成本分别为:有6毫米报告阈值的CTC为4361美元,无阈值的CTC为7138美元,FS为7407美元,OC为9180美元。在CTC时报告微小病变所增加的成本为每多获得一个生命年118,440美元,而结直肠癌的发病率仅降低了1.3%(从36.5%降至37.8%)。与初次OC筛查相比,有6毫米阈值的CTC使侵入性内镜检查减少了77.6%(39,374例对比175,911例),OC相关的穿孔或出血报告并发症减少了1112例。
不报告微小病变的CTC被发现是评估中最具成本效益和最安全的筛查选择,从而为这种方法提供了进一步支持。总体而言,相对于临床疗效的微小提升,切除微小病变似乎带来了不合理的成本和并发症负担。