Vergel Yolanda Bravo, Chilcott Jim, Kaltenthaler Eva, Walters Stephen, Blakeborough Anthony, Thomas Steven
Department of Economics and Related Studies, Centre for Health Economics, University of York, Heslington, York YO10 5DD, UK.
Int J Surg. 2006;4(1):12-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2006.01.007. Epub 2006 Feb 21.
Use of magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) for confirmation of presence of biliary obstruction is virtually risk-free. However, unlike diagnostic endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), no therapeutic option can be offered simultaneously with MRCP. The aim of the study is to assess the cost-effectiveness of MRCP when compared with the conventional practice of diagnostic ERCP for the investigation of biliary obstruction in adults.
Cost-effectiveness analysis from the perspective of the health care provider. Sensitivity analysis includes presentation of a family of cost effectiveness acceptability curves and the impact of different risks of common bile duct stones associated with ultrasound and liver function test results. The main outcome measure is cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY).
Baseline results, at 37% probability of common bile duct stones, show that MRCP is the dominant strategy, with expected savings of 149 pounds sterling (325 pounds sterling to - 15 pounds sterling) and expected QALY gain of 0.011 (0-0.030) per case. The probability of avoiding unnecessary therapeutic ERCP is 30%. For patients at high risk of common bile duct stones (probability >60%) ERCP is the preferable strategy.
The baseline estimate is that MRCP would be both cost saving and would result in improved quality of life outcomes compared to diagnostic ERCP, but its potential sources of economic benefit are highly dependent on access to, and waiting lists for adequate MRI technology at hospital level.
使用磁共振胰胆管造影(MRCP)来确认胆道梗阻的存在几乎没有风险。然而,与诊断性内镜逆行胰胆管造影(ERCP)不同,MRCP不能同时提供治疗选择。本研究的目的是评估与诊断性ERCP的传统做法相比,MRCP在调查成人胆道梗阻时的成本效益。
从医疗服务提供者的角度进行成本效益分析。敏感性分析包括呈现一系列成本效益可接受性曲线,以及与超声和肝功能检查结果相关的胆总管结石不同风险的影响。主要结局指标是每质量调整生命年(QALY)的成本。
在胆总管结石概率为37%的基线结果显示,MRCP是主要策略,每例预期节省149英镑(325英镑至 - 15英镑),预期QALY增益为0.011(0 - 0.030)。避免不必要的治疗性ERCP的概率为30%。对于胆总管结石高风险患者(概率>60%),ERCP是更可取的策略。
基线估计表明,与诊断性ERCP相比,MRCP既能节省成本,又能改善生活质量结果,但其潜在的经济效益高度依赖于医院层面获得足够的MRI技术以及等待名单情况。