Grimard Franque, Parent Daniel
Department of Economics, McGill University, Montréal, QUE, Canada.
J Health Econ. 2007 Sep 1;26(5):896-926. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2007.03.004. Epub 2007 Mar 27.
We use the Vietnam war draft avoidance behavior documented by Card and Lemieux [Card, D., Lemieux, T., May 2001. Did draft avoidance raise college attendance during the Vietnam war? American Economic Review 91 (2), 97-102] as a quasi experiment to infer causation from education to smoking and find strong evidence that education, whether measured in years of completed schooling or in educational attainment categories, reduces the probability of smoking at the time of the interview, more particularly the probability of smoking regularly. However, while we find that more education substantially increases the probability of never smoking, our instrumental procedure yields imprecise estimates of the effect of education on smoking cessation. Potential mechanisms linking education and smoking are also explored.
我们将卡德和勒米厄记录的越战期间逃避征兵行为[卡德,D.,勒米厄,T.,2001年5月。逃避征兵是否提高了越战期间的大学入学率?《美国经济评论》91(2),97 - 102]用作一项准实验,以推断从教育到吸烟之间的因果关系,并发现有力证据表明,无论是以完成学业的年限还是以教育程度类别来衡量,教育都会降低访谈时吸烟的概率,尤其是经常吸烟的概率。然而,虽然我们发现更多教育大幅增加了从不吸烟的概率,但我们的工具性程序对教育对戒烟效果的估计并不精确。我们还探讨了将教育与吸烟联系起来的潜在机制。