Simulated effects of reproductive performance on life-cycle efficiency of lamb and wool production at three lambing intervals.

A deterministic computer model of a purebreeding sheep production system was used to simulate effects on life-cycle efficiency from genetic changes in lambing rate (LB), fertility (FERT), precocity of fertility (PREC), and estrus season length (ES) under annual (Y), 4-mo (A), and 73-d (S) breeding intervals. Ewes and lambs of a 1,000-ewe flock were fed to requirement through five yr, beginning with ewe lambs at the optimal breeding season and accumulating feed input (TDN) and market lamb equivalent weight of output (EBW), including cull ewes and wool. For annual lambing, improvement in cost (TDN/EBW equivalence) per 10% increase in genetic potential was -9.8, -8.2, -1.3, and -.8% for LB, FERT, PREC, and ES, respectively. For the A and S lambing intervals, corresponding gains in TDN efficiency were -19 for FERT and -9% for LB when ES was 72 d, but only -6 and -5% when ES was 192 d. Increasing PREC by 10% improved cost -3% under accelerated systems when ES was 72 d, but less than -1% when ES was 192 d. Cost reduction from 10% longer ES under A and S breeding intervals was greater when other reproductive performance was low (-11 and -17%) rather than high (-2 and -3%). Reduction in costs for A and S vs Y lambing intervals was greatest with long ES and was greater with low (-43 and -53%) than with high reproductive performance (-20 and -24%). When ES was 72 d, A and S intervals would reduce costs for high (-9 and -11%) but increase costs for low reproductive traits. Corresponding increases in CP/TDN required in diet would reduce gains in TDN/EBW only slightly. These results should aid in development of optimum selection criteria for stocks used for pure or rotation crossbreeding or as maternal parents of terminal crosses.