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推进治疗过程分析。

Advancing the analysis of treatment process.

作者信息

Stout Robert L

机构信息

Decision Sciences Institute, Providence, RI 02906, USA.

出版信息

Addiction. 2007 Oct;102(10):1539-45. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2007.01880.x. Epub 2007 Jul 4.

Abstract

AIMS

To review the role of process research in clinical research, to summarize progress in statistical methods for process analyses, and to describe a dynamic analytical approach that can provide new insights into the processes responsible for the effects of treatments and other variables.

SUMMARY

Process research helps us to understand what happens during our interventions, and can yield valuable knowledge regardless of whether an intervention is found to have significant effects. This is a review of recent statistical advances for dealing with missing data, tests for mediation and hierarchical modeling and demonstrate how these advances can help process researchers overcome obstacles that had limited past studies. However, the standard paradigm for process analysis, although conceptually sound, is based upon a static model that does little justice to the dynamics of treatment. Therefore, it is proposed that the paradigm is extended to study the time-course of dynamic processes, using existing statistical methods. Hierarchical linear modeling, structural regression modeling and event history methods are among the most promising tools for more advanced process analyses because of their ability to incorporate time-varying predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

The function of process analysis is to probe into the mechanisms of action of treatment to locate both weaknesses and strengths, but methods for process research are still rudimentary. By conceptualizing process analysis as a problem of relating multiple time-series, many new analytical opportunities, and challenges, present themselves. Modern statistical methods can help to lead to broad advances in our understanding of the processes that affect treatment success.

摘要

目的

回顾过程研究在临床研究中的作用,总结过程分析统计方法的进展,并描述一种动态分析方法,该方法可为治疗效果及其他变量所涉及的过程提供新见解。

总结

过程研究有助于我们理解干预期间发生的情况,无论干预是否被发现具有显著效果,都能产生有价值的知识。本文综述了处理缺失数据、中介检验和分层建模的近期统计进展,并展示了这些进展如何帮助过程研究人员克服过去研究中存在的局限性障碍。然而,过程分析的标准范式虽然在概念上合理,但基于静态模型,对治疗动态过程的描述不够充分。因此,建议利用现有统计方法扩展该范式以研究动态过程的时间进程。分层线性建模、结构回归建模和事件史方法因其能够纳入随时间变化的预测变量,是更高级过程分析中最具潜力的工具。

结论

过程分析的作用是探究治疗的作用机制以找出其弱点和优势,但过程研究方法仍很初级。通过将过程分析概念化为关联多个时间序列的问题,许多新的分析机会和挑战就会出现。现代统计方法有助于推动我们在理解影响治疗成功的过程方面取得广泛进展。

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