马拉维疟疾防控核心人群覆盖指标的地理差异。
Geographical disparities in core population coverage indicators for roll back malaria in Malawi.
作者信息
Kazembe Lawrence N, Appleton Christopher C, Kleinschmidt Immo
机构信息
Applied Statistics and Epidemiology Research Unit, Mathematical Sciences Department, Chancellor College, University of Malawi, Zomba, Malawi.
出版信息
Int J Equity Health. 2007 Jul 4;6:5. doi: 10.1186/1475-9276-6-5.
BACKGROUND
Implementation of known effective interventions would necessitate the reduction of malaria burden by half by the year 2010. Identifying geographical disparities of coverage of these interventions at small area level is useful to inform where greatest scaling-up efforts should be concentrated. They also provide baseline data against which future scaling-up of interventions can be compared. However, population data are not always available at local level. This study applied spatial smoothing methods to generate maps at subdistrict level in Malawi to serve such purposes.
METHODS
Data for the following responses from the 2000 Malawi Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) were aggregated at subdistrict level: (1) households possessing at least one bednet; (2) children under 5 years who slept under a bednet the night before the survey; (3) bednets retreated with insecticide within past 6-12 months preceding the survey; (4) children under 5 who had fever two weeks before the survey and received treatment within 24 hours from the onset of fever; and (5) women who received intermittent preventive treatment of malaria during their last pregnancy. Each response was geographically smoothed at subdistrict level by applying conditional autoregressive models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation techniques.
RESULTS
The underlying geographical patterns of coverage of indicators were more clear in the smoothed maps than in the original unsmoothed maps, with relatively high coverage in urban areas than in rural areas for all indicators. The percentage of households possessing at least one bednet was 19% (95% credible interval (CI): 16-21%), with 9% (95% CI: 7-11%) of children sleeping under a net, while 18% (95% CI: 16-19%) of households had retreated their nets within past 12 months prior to the survey. The northern region and lakeshore areas had high bednet coverage, but low usage and re-treatment rates. Coverage rate of children who received antimalarial treatment within 24 hours after onset of fever was consistently low for most parts of the country, with mean coverage of 4.8% (95% CI: 4.5-5.0%). About 48% (95% CI: 47-50%) of women received antimalarial prophylaxis during their pregnancy, with highest rates in the southern and northern areas.
CONCLUSION
The striking geographical patterns, for example between predominantly urban and rural areas, may reflect spatial differences in provider compliance or coverage, and can partly be explained by socio-economic and cultural differences. The wide gap between high bed net coverage and low retreatment rates may reflect variation in perceptions about malaria, which may be addressed by implementing information, education and communication campaigns or introducing long lasting insecticide nets. Our results demonstrate that DHS data, with appropriate methodology, can provide acceptable estimates at sub-national level for monitoring and evaluation of malaria control goals.
背景
实施已知有效的干预措施将有必要到2010年将疟疾负担减半。在小区域层面确定这些干预措施覆盖范围的地理差异,有助于了解应将最大规模的扩大工作集中在何处。它们还提供了基线数据,可据此比较未来干预措施的扩大情况。然而,地方层面并非总能获得人口数据。本研究应用空间平滑方法在马拉维的分区层面生成地图以实现此类目的。
方法
汇总了2000年马拉维人口与健康调查(DHS)以下各项答复的数据,并在分区层面进行了整合:(1)拥有至少一顶蚊帐的家庭;(2)调查前一晚睡在蚊帐下的5岁以下儿童;(3)在调查前过去6至12个月内用杀虫剂处理过的蚊帐;(4)调查前两周发烧且发烧后24小时内接受治疗的5岁以下儿童;以及(5)上次怀孕时接受过疟疾间歇性预防性治疗的妇女。通过使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗模拟技术应用条件自回归模型,对每个答复在分区层面进行地理平滑处理。
结果
在平滑地图上各项指标覆盖范围的潜在地理模式比原始未平滑地图上更加清晰,所有指标在城市地区的覆盖范围相对高于农村地区。拥有至少一顶蚊帐的家庭比例为19%(95%可信区间(CI):16 - 21%),睡在蚊帐下的儿童比例为9%(95%CI:7 - 11%),而18%(95%CI:16 - 19%)的家庭在调查前过去12个月内对蚊帐进行了处理。北部地区和湖滨地区蚊帐覆盖率高,但使用率和再处理率低。在该国大部分地区,发烧后24小时内接受抗疟治疗的儿童覆盖率一直很低,平均覆盖率为4.8%(95%CI:4.5 - 5.0%)。约48%(95%CI:47 - 50%)的妇女在怀孕期间接受了抗疟预防,南部和北部地区的比例最高。
结论
显著的地理模式,例如主要城市和农村地区之间的模式,可能反映了提供者依从性或覆盖范围的空间差异,并且部分可以由社会经济和文化差异来解释。高蚊帐覆盖率和低再处理率之间的巨大差距可能反映了对疟疾认知的差异,这可以通过开展信息、教育和宣传活动或引入长效杀虫剂蚊帐来解决。我们的结果表明,通过适当的方法,DHS数据可以在国家以下层面提供可接受的估计值,用于监测和评估疟疾控制目标。