Sobocki P, Pugliatti M, Lauer K, Kobelt G
Department of Learning, Informatics, Information and Ethics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm Sweden and European Health Economics, SE-11120 Stockholm, Sweden.
Mult Scler. 2007 Sep;13(8):1054-64. doi: 10.1177/1352458507077941. Epub 2007 Jul 10.
The present study aims at estimating the total cost of MS in Europe based on actual cost data from nine countries and published epidemiological evidence. The epidemiological data are reported as 12 months prevalence estimates and cost data calculated as annual cost per patient at given levels of disease severity. Cost data are extrapolated to the rest of Europe based on a model, using economic indexes adjusting for price level differences in different sectors between countries. The aggregated annual cost estimates are presented in Euro for 2005. In 28 European countries with a population of 466 million, an estimated 380 000 individuals are affected by MS. The total annual cost of MS in Europe is estimated at 12.5 billion in year 2005, corresponding to a cost of 27 per European inhabitant. Direct costs represent slightly more than half of the total cost (6.0 billion). Informal care is estimated at 3.2 billion, and indirect costs due to morbidity at 3.2 billion. Thus, the largest component of costs is found outside the formal health care sector. Although our model appears to predict costs reasonably well, when comparing to previous national studies not included in the estimates, there are considerable uncertainties when extrapolating cost data across countries even within Europe. These weaknesses can only be overcome by collecting primary data.
本研究旨在根据九个国家的实际成本数据和已发表的流行病学证据,估算欧洲多发性硬化症(MS)的总成本。流行病学数据以12个月患病率估计值报告,成本数据按疾病严重程度给定水平下每位患者的年度成本计算。成本数据基于一个模型推算至欧洲其他地区,该模型使用经济指数来调整各国不同部门之间的价格水平差异。汇总的年度成本估计值以2005年欧元呈现。在拥有4.66亿人口的28个欧洲国家中,估计有38万人受MS影响。2005年欧洲MS的年度总成本估计为125亿欧元,相当于每位欧洲居民27欧元的成本。直接成本占总成本的略多于一半(60亿欧元)。非正式护理估计为32亿欧元,发病导致的间接成本为32亿欧元。因此,成本的最大组成部分存在于正规医疗保健部门之外。尽管我们的模型似乎能较好地预测成本,但与未纳入估计的先前国家研究相比,即使在欧洲范围内跨国推算成本数据时也存在相当大的不确定性。这些弱点只有通过收集原始数据才能克服。
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