Science. 1972 Jul 7;177(4043):52-6. doi: 10.1126/science.177.4043.52.
Solar evolution implies, for contemporary albedos and atmospheric composition, global mean temperatures below the freezing point of seawater less than 2.3 aeons ago, contrary to geologic and paleontological evidence. Ammonia mixing ratios of the order of a few parts per million in the middle Precambrian atmosphere resolve this and other problems. Possible temperature evolutionary tracks for Earth and Mars are described. A runaway greenhouse efect will occur on Earth about 4.5 aeons from now, when clement conditions will prevail on Mars.
太阳的演化表明,在当代反照率和大气组成条件下,在 23 亿年前全球平均温度会低于海水冰点,这与地质和古生物学证据相矛盾。在前寒武纪中期大气中氨的混合比为 ppm 数量级,这解决了这个问题和其他一些问题。还描述了地球和火星的可能温度演化轨迹。大约在 45 亿年后,地球将发生失控的温室效应,而火星将处于温和的条件下。