Thorogood M, Mann J, Murphy M, Vessey M
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Infirmary.
Br J Obstet Gynaecol. 1991 Dec;98(12):1245-53. doi: 10.1111/j.1471-0528.1991.tb15397.x.
To investigate the association between fatal myocardial infarction and use of modern low-dose oral contraceptives.
A case-control study.
General practices throughout England and Wales.
161 women aged under 40 dying from myocardial infarction during 1986-1988. Living controls (2 per case), matched for age and marital status, were chosen from general practice lists. Information was collected during structured interviews with general practitioners, and from postal questionnaires sent to surviving partners of the cases and to control women.
Mortality from myocardial infarction in relation to many risk factors, notably oral contraception, as measured by relative risk.
After allowing for the confounding effects of medical risk factors and for surgical sterilization, the overall relative risk associated with both current and past use of oral contraceptives was estimated to be 1.9 (95% CI 0.7 to 4.9, and 1.0 to 3.5 respectively). The relative risk associated with current use of preparations containing 50 micrograms of oestrogen, however, was estimated to be 4.2 (0.5 to 39.2). At least some of the relative risk associated with oral contraceptive use is likely to be attributable to the confounding effect of cigarette smoking, but it is impossible to estimate how much from the available data.
If there was an increased risk of fatal myocardial infarction associated with oral contraceptive use in 1986-1988 it is likely to have been less than two-fold; in this study risks were slightly, but not significantly, elevated with both current and previous use. It may be that any increase in risk is associated solely with the older combined preparations containing 50 micrograms of oestrogen.
研究致命性心肌梗死与现代低剂量口服避孕药使用之间的关联。
病例对照研究。
英格兰和威尔士的全科医疗诊所。
1986年至1988年间161名40岁以下死于心肌梗死的女性。从全科医疗诊所名单中选取年龄和婚姻状况匹配的在世对照者(每个病例2名对照)。通过与全科医生进行结构化访谈以及向病例的在世配偶和对照女性发送邮政问卷来收集信息。
与多种危险因素相关的心肌梗死死亡率,尤其是口服避孕药,以相对风险衡量。
在考虑了医疗危险因素和手术绝育的混杂效应后,当前和过去使用口服避孕药的总体相对风险估计分别为1.9(95%可信区间0.7至4.9)和1.0至3.5。然而,当前使用含50微克雌激素制剂的相对风险估计为4.2(0.5至39.2)。与口服避孕药使用相关的至少部分相对风险可能归因于吸烟的混杂效应,但根据现有数据无法估计具体比例。
如果1986年至1988年间口服避孕药使用与致命性心肌梗死风险增加有关,那么这种增加可能不到两倍;在本研究中,当前和过去使用口服避孕药时风险略有升高,但无统计学意义。风险的任何增加可能仅与含50微克雌激素的较旧复方制剂有关。