Zhao Yu, Duan Lei, Larssen Thorjorn, Mulder Jan, Hu Lanhua, Hao Jiming
Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2007 Nov 15;387(1-3):54-67. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2007.07.014. Epub 2007 Sep 5.
The critical load concept has become widely accepted as an important theoretical basis for establishing effective acid deposition control strategies. In the critical load calculations, the influence of variation in base cation (BC) deposition, which plays an important role in mitigating acidification, was seldom considered. In this manner, high uncertainty and over-estimation might be caused in those areas where current BC deposition is very high and of significant anthropogenic origin since anthropogenic deposition can change due to human activity. In this study, an extended sulfur(S)-nitrogen (N)-BC function based on the Steady State Mass Balance (SSMB) method is applied to calculate the critical loads for five sampled catchments in southern China under variable S, N, and BC deposition. The ceiling of S deposition (when N deposition is zero; CL(max)(S)) under current BC deposition varies from 4.5 to 10.8 keq ha(-1) yr(-1) among the five catchments, and the ceiling of N deposition (when S deposition is zero; CL(max)(N)) varies from 23.2 to 54.5 keq ha(-1) yr(-1). A 75% reduction in BC deposition is estimated to cause a 46%-86% decrease of CL(max)(S) and 45%-81% decrease of CL(max)(N). The critical loads for acidification are not exceeded in any of the five catchments under the current base cation deposition, despite extremely high S deposition in some places. However, if the BC deposition decreases to 25% of current while S remains unchanged, critical loads will be exceeded at all sites except one. A sensitivity analysis confirms that the long-term future BC deposition is among the most important parameters to the uncertainty of critical load, together with the dose-response relationship between ecosystem health and soil solution chemistry.
临界负荷概念已被广泛接受,成为制定有效酸沉降控制策略的重要理论基础。在临界负荷计算中,很少考虑碱金属阳离子(BC)沉降变化的影响,而BC沉降在减轻酸化方面起着重要作用。这样一来,在当前BC沉降非常高且主要源于人为因素的地区,可能会导致高度不确定性和高估,因为人为沉降会因人类活动而改变。在本研究中,基于稳态质量平衡(SSMB)方法的扩展硫(S)-氮(N)-BC函数被用于计算中国南方五个采样流域在S、N和BC沉降变化情况下的临界负荷。在当前BC沉降条件下,五个流域的S沉降上限(当N沉降为零时;CL(max)(S))在4.5至10.8 keq ha(-1) yr(-1)之间变化,N沉降上限(当S沉降为零时;CL(max)(N))在23.2至54.5 keq ha(-1) yr(-1)之间变化。据估计,BC沉降减少75%会导致CL(max)(S)降低46%-86%,CL(max)(N)降低45%-81%。在当前碱金属阳离子沉降条件下,五个流域中没有一个流域的酸化临界负荷被超过,尽管有些地方的S沉降极高。然而,如果BC沉降降至当前的25%而S保持不变,除了一个地点外,所有地点的临界负荷都将被超过。敏感性分析证实,未来长期的BC沉降与生态系统健康和土壤溶液化学之间的剂量反应关系一样,是临界负荷不确定性的最重要参数之一。