Science. 1984 Jul 13;225(4658):129-38. doi: 10.1126/science.225.4658.129.
Despite the very active deforestation of the last decade, the Amazon Basin is still primarily covered with trees and is a system in equilibrium. The Andes form a barrier at the western end of the basin and, coupled with the prevailing easterly winds, ensure an almost unique precipitation and water-recycling regime. On average 50 percent of the precipitation is recycled, and in some areas even more. The soils are poor. Most of the nitrogen and phosphorus is found in the soil, and the remaining nutrient elements are found in the standing biomass. There is some nutrient recycling and little loss from the intact ecosystem, and the small input of nutrients from precipitation maintains a small positive nutrient balance. Continued large-scale deforestation is likely to lead to increased erosion and water runoff with initial flooding in the lower Amazon, together with reduced evapotranspiration and ultimately reduced precipitation. Reduced precipitation in the Amazon could increase the tendency toward continentality and adversely affect climate and the present agriculture in south-central Brazil.
尽管过去十年亚马逊流域的森林砍伐活动非常活跃,但该地区仍主要被树木覆盖,处于生态平衡之中。安第斯山脉在流域的西部形成了一道屏障,加上盛行的东风,确保了这里拥有独特的降水和水资源再循环系统。平均有 50%的降水被再循环,在某些地区甚至更多。这里的土壤贫瘠。大部分的氮和磷存在于土壤中,其余的营养元素存在于生物量中。在完整的生态系统中存在一定的养分再循环,养分损失很少,而从降水输入的少量养分维持着一个小的正养分平衡。持续的大规模森林砍伐可能会导致侵蚀和径流量增加,最初会导致亚马逊下游洪水泛滥,同时减少蒸散作用,最终导致降水减少。亚马逊流域降水减少可能会增加大陆性倾向,并对气候和巴西中南部目前的农业产生不利影响。