Barnett Jon, Dessai Suraje, Jones Roger N
School of Social and Environmental Enquiry, University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ambio. 2007 Jul;36(5):372-8. doi: 10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[372:vtcvac]2.0.co;2.
This paper presents the results of a preliminary study of climate vulnerability in East Timor. It shows the results of projections of climate change in East Timor. The country's climate may become hotter, drier, and increasingly variable. Sea levels are likely to rise. The paper then considers the implications of these changes on three natural resources--water, soils, and the coastal zone--and finds all to be sensitive to changes in climate and sea level. Changes in the abundance and distribution of these resources is likely to cause a reduction in agricultural production and food security, and sea-level rise is likely to damage coastal areas, including Dili, the capital city.
本文展示了东帝汶气候脆弱性初步研究的结果。它呈现了东帝汶气候变化预测的结果。该国气候可能会变得更炎热、更干燥且变化愈发无常。海平面很可能上升。接着，本文探讨了这些变化对三种自然资源——水、土壤和沿海地区——的影响，并发现它们都对气候和海平面变化敏感。这些资源的丰度和分布变化可能会导致农业产量和粮食安全下降，而且海平面上升可能会破坏包括首都帝力在内的沿海地区。
