Covey Judith
Department of Psychology, Durham University, Stockton, United Kingdom.
Med Decis Making. 2007 Sep-Oct;27(5):638-54. doi: 10.1177/0272989X07306783. Epub 2007 Sep 14.
The purpose of this article is to examine the effects of presenting treatment benefits in different formats on the decisions of both patients and health professionals. Three formats were investigated: relative risk reductions, absolute risk reductions, and number needed to treat or screen.
A systematic review of the published literature was conducted. Articles were retrieved by searching a variety of databases and screened for inclusion by 2 reviewers. Data were extracted on characteristics of the subjects and methodologies used. Log-odds ratios were calculated to estimate effect sizes.
A total of 24 articles were retrieved that reported on 31 unique experiments. The meta-analysis showed that treatments were evaluated more favorably when the relative risk format was used rather than the absolute risk or number needed to treat format. However, a significant amount of heterogeneity was found between studies, the sources of which were explored using subgroup analyses and metaregression. Although the subgroup analyses revealed smaller effect sizes in the studies conducted on physicians, the metaregression showed that these differences were largely accounted for by other features of the study design. Most notably, variations in effect sizes were explained by the particular wordings that the studies had chosen to use for the relative risk and absolute risk reductions.
The published literature has consistently demonstrated that relative risk formats produce more favorable evaluations of treatments than absolute risk or number needed to treat formats. However, the effects are heterogeneous and seem to be moderated by key differences between the methodologies used.
本文旨在研究以不同形式呈现治疗益处对患者和医疗专业人员决策的影响。研究了三种形式:相对风险降低、绝对风险降低以及治疗或筛查所需人数。
对已发表的文献进行系统综述。通过检索各种数据库获取文章,并由两名评审员筛选纳入。提取关于研究对象特征和所用方法的数据。计算对数优势比以估计效应大小。
共检索到24篇报道31项独特实验的文章。荟萃分析表明,使用相对风险形式评估治疗比使用绝对风险或治疗所需人数形式更有利。然而,研究之间发现了大量异质性,使用亚组分析和元回归探索了其来源。虽然亚组分析显示在针对医生进行的研究中效应大小较小,但元回归表明这些差异在很大程度上由研究设计的其他特征所解释。最值得注意的是,效应大小的差异是由研究选择用于相对风险和绝对风险降低的特定措辞所解释的。
已发表的文献一致表明,相对风险形式比绝对风险或治疗所需人数形式对治疗的评价更有利。然而,效应是异质性的,似乎受到所用方法之间关键差异的调节。