Eltoum Isam A, Roberson Janie
Department of Pathology, The University of Alabama, Birmingham, AL 35233, USA.
Am J Clin Pathol. 2007 Oct;128(4):665-70. doi: 10.1309/40DW4TG5TKNUEM71.
With the new screening and treatment guidelines and the prospect of human papillomavirus vaccination for adolescents, the current total volume of Papanicolaou (Pap) tests will be significantly reduced. We used available data to assess the current supply and demand in the cytotechnology labor market and how an expected change in Pap test volume impacts this market. Cytotechnologists' data were obtained from the American Society for Clinical Pathology (ASCP) Board of Registry and the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services. Data for wages and vacancies were obtained from American Society for Cytotechnologists and ASCP Surveys. Cytotechnology training program data were obtained from annual reports of the Cytotechnology Programs Review Committee of American Society for Cytopathology. In the current market, the demand for cytotechnologists increases by 3.6% and the supply by 4.0% each year. At any given time, there is a vacancy rate of 3%. In the coming years, the demand will decrease remarkably with a projected total demand for cytotechnologists of 5,623 instead of 8,033 by the year 2010 and of 8,538 instead of 14,146 by the year 2026. The cytotechnology market faces an impending crisis. There is a high need for prospectively collected accurate data on demand for and supply of cytotechnologists.
随着新的筛查和治疗指南的出台以及青少年人乳头瘤病毒疫苗接种的前景，目前巴氏涂片检查的总量将大幅减少。我们利用现有数据评估了细胞技术劳动力市场的当前供需情况，以及巴氏涂片检查量的预期变化对该市场的影响。细胞技术人员的数据来自美国临床病理学会（ASCP）注册委员会和医疗保险与医疗补助服务中心。工资和职位空缺数据来自美国细胞技术人员协会和ASCP调查。细胞技术培训项目数据来自美国细胞病理学学会细胞技术项目审查委员会的年度报告。在当前市场中，对细胞技术人员的需求每年增长3.6%，供应每年增长4.0%。在任何给定时间，职位空缺率为3%。在未来几年，需求将显著下降，预计到2010年细胞技术人员的总需求量为5623人，而不是8033人，到2026年为8538人，而不是14146人。细胞技术市场面临着迫在眉睫的危机。迫切需要前瞻性地收集关于细胞技术人员供需的准确数据。
