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亚利桑那州红灯摄像头对安全的影响。

The impact of red light cameras on safety in Arizona.

作者信息

Shin Kangwon, Washington Simon

机构信息

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ira A. Fulton School of Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-5306, USA.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2007 Nov;39(6):1212-21. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2007.03.010. Epub 2007 Apr 13.

Abstract

Red light cameras (RLCs) have been used in a number of US cities to yield a demonstrable reduction in red light violations; however, evaluating their impact on safety (crashes) has been relatively more difficult. Accurately estimating the safety impacts of RLCs is challenging for several reasons. First, many safety related factors are uncontrolled and/or confounded during the periods of observation. Second, "spillover" effects caused by drivers reacting to non-RLC equipped intersections and approaches can make the selection of comparison sites difficult. Third, sites selected for RLC installation may not be selected randomly, and as a result may suffer from the regression to the mean bias. Finally, crash severity and resulting costs need to be considered in order to fully understand the safety impacts of RLCs. Recognizing these challenges, a study was conducted to estimate the safety impacts of RLCs on traffic crashes at signalized intersections in the cities of Phoenix and Scottsdale, Arizona. Twenty-four RLC equipped intersections in both cities are examined in detail and conclusions are drawn. Four different evaluation methodologies were employed to cope with the technical challenges described in this paper and to assess the sensitivity of results based on analytical assumptions. The evaluation results indicated that both Phoenix and Scottsdale are operating cost-effective installations of RLCs: however, the variability in RLC effectiveness within jurisdictions is larger in Phoenix. Consistent with findings in other regions, angle and left-turn crashes are reduced in general, while rear-end crashes tend to increase as a result of RLCs.

摘要

红灯摄像头(RLCs)已在美国多个城市使用,以显著减少闯红灯行为;然而,评估其对安全(撞车事故)的影响相对更困难。准确估计红灯摄像头的安全影响具有挑战性,原因有以下几点。首先,在观察期间,许多与安全相关的因素未得到控制和/或存在混淆。其次,驾驶员对未安装红灯摄像头的交叉路口和路段做出反应所造成的“溢出”效应,可能会使比较地点的选择变得困难。第三,选择安装红灯摄像头的地点可能不是随机的,因此可能会出现均值回归偏差。最后,为了全面了解红灯摄像头的安全影响,需要考虑撞车的严重程度和由此产生的成本。认识到这些挑战后,开展了一项研究,以估计红灯摄像头对亚利桑那州凤凰城和斯科茨代尔市信号控制交叉路口交通事故的安全影响。详细研究了这两个城市中24个安装了红灯摄像头的交叉路口,并得出了结论。采用了四种不同的评估方法来应对本文所述的技术挑战,并根据分析假设评估结果的敏感性。评估结果表明,凤凰城和斯科茨代尔市的红灯摄像头安装在运营上都具有成本效益:然而,凤凰城辖区内红灯摄像头有效性的变异性更大。与其他地区的研究结果一致,一般来说,角度碰撞和左转碰撞有所减少,而红灯摄像头导致追尾碰撞往往增加。

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