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情境依赖因果过程的实用建模——对罗伯特·罗森思想的重塑

The practical modelling of context-dependent causal processes--a recasting of Robert Rosen's thought.

作者信息

Edmonds Bruce

机构信息

Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University, Aytoun Building, Aytoun Street, Manchester, M1 3GH, UK.

出版信息

Chem Biodivers. 2007 Oct;4(10):2386-95. doi: 10.1002/cbdv.200790194.

DOI:10.1002/cbdv.200790194
PMID:17955464
Abstract

This paper is a critical recasting of some of Robert Rosen's thought. It is argued that a lot of the thrust of Rosen's work can be better understood when recast in terms of the context dependency of causal models. When recast in this way, I seek to highlight how his thought does not lead to the abandonment of formal modelling and a descent into relativism, but a more careful and rigours science of complex systems. This also sheds light on several aspects of modelling, including the need for multiple models, the nature of modelling noise, and why adaptive systems cause particular problems to modellers. In this way, I hope to decrease researchers fear that, by taking Rosen's criticisms seriously, they would have to abandon the realm of acceptable science.

摘要

本文是对罗伯特·罗森(Robert Rosen)部分思想的批判性重塑。有人认为,当根据因果模型的上下文依赖性进行重塑时,罗森作品的许多主旨能得到更好的理解。以这种方式重塑时,我试图强调他的思想并非导致放弃形式建模并陷入相对主义,而是走向一门更严谨细致的复杂系统科学。这也阐明了建模的几个方面,包括对多个模型的需求、建模噪声的本质,以及为何自适应系统给建模者带来特殊问题。通过这种方式,我希望减少研究人员的担忧,即如果认真对待罗森的批评,他们将不得不放弃可接受的科学领域。

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