Berezkin V G, Bulianitsa A L
Adv Gerontol. 2007;20(1):29-39.
The demographic life characteristics of the Russian science elite (full and corresponding members of the Academy of Sciences in 20th century) and the relationship between their birth and death dates are given in the paper. The following demographic characteristics of the RAS members have been estimated: a) the mean life span of full RAS members is 75 years, and of corresponding members--72.1 years; b) the mean life span of full RAS members after their election is 16.6 years, and that of corresponding members is 17 years; c) the mean age of the election to the Academy is 58.4 years for full members and 55 years for the corresponding members. These characteristics were used to analyze the social status of the group representing potential academic elite and to evaluate changes in that status caused by the fact of their election to the Academy. It has been found that the mean, maximum and minimum ages of their election to the Academy actually coincide with respective characteristics of Nobel Prize winners. However the life span of the latter after awarding is significantly, over 3 years, greater than that of full RAS members after their election. There is a small proportion of women among the members of the Academy (2%). This is also true for Nobel Prize winners (3.2%). It is shown that a week period of +/-3 days of the birth date for the members of the Academy is characterized by a much higher mortality rate exceeding the average one by about 60%. A similar tendency was shown earlier for the eminent persons of the world community in literature, science, business, and politics in 18th-20th centuries.
本文给出了俄罗斯科学界精英(20世纪俄罗斯科学院的正式院士和通讯院士)的人口统计学寿命特征及其出生日期与死亡日期之间的关系。已对俄罗斯科学院成员的以下人口统计学特征进行了估计:a)俄罗斯科学院正式院士的平均寿命为75岁,通讯院士为72.1岁;b)俄罗斯科学院正式院士当选后的平均寿命为16.6年,通讯院士为17年;c)当选科学院院士时的平均年龄,正式院士为58.4岁,通讯院士为55岁。这些特征被用于分析代表潜在学术精英的群体的社会地位,并评估其当选科学院院士这一事实所导致的该地位的变化。研究发现,他们当选科学院院士的平均年龄、最大年龄和最小年龄实际上与诺贝尔奖获得者的相应特征相符。然而,诺贝尔奖获得者获奖后的寿命明显比俄罗斯科学院正式院士当选后的寿命长3年多。科学院成员中女性比例较小(2%)。诺贝尔奖获得者中女性比例也较低(3.2%)。研究表明,科学院成员出生日期前后±3天的一周内死亡率要高得多,超过平均死亡率约60%。18至20世纪,文学、科学、商业和政治领域的世界杰出人物也曾出现过类似趋势。