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急诊科占用率:一种衡量急诊科拥挤程度的简单指标?

The emergency department occupancy rate: a simple measure of emergency department crowding?

作者信息

McCarthy Melissa L, Aronsky Dominik, Jones Ian D, Miner James R, Band Roger A, Baren Jill M, Desmond Jeffrey S, Baumlin Kevin M, Ding Ru, Shesser Robert

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21209, USA.

出版信息

Ann Emerg Med. 2008 Jan;51(1):15-24, 24.e1-2. doi: 10.1016/j.annemergmed.2007.09.003. Epub 2007 Nov 5.

Abstract

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We examine the validity of the emergency department (ED) occupancy rate as a measure of crowding by comparing it to the Emergency Department Work Index Score (EDWIN), a previously validated scale.

METHODS

A multicenter validation study was conducted according to ED visit data from 6 academic EDs for a 3-month period in 2005. Hourly ED occupancy rate (ie, total number of patients in ED divided by total number of licensed beds) and EDWIN scores were calculated. The correlation between the scales was determined and their validity evaluated by their ability to discriminate between hours when 1 or more patients left without being seen and hours when the ED was on ambulance diversion, using area under the curve (AUC) statistics estimated from the bootstrap method.

RESULTS

We calculated the ED occupancy rate and EDWIN for 2,208 consecutive hours at each of the 6 EDs. The overall correlation between the 2 scales was 0.58 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56 to 0.60). The ED occupancy rate (AUC=0.73; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.80) and the EDWIN (AUC=0.65; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.72) did not differ significantly in correctly identifying hours when patients left without being seen. The ED occupancy rate (AUC=0.78; 95% CI 0.75 to 0.80) and the EDWIN (AUC=0.70; 95% CI 0.59 to 0.81) performed similarly for ED diversion hours.

CONCLUSION

The ED occupancy rate and the EDWIN classified leaving without being seen and ambulance diversion hours with moderate accuracy. Although the ED occupancy rate is not ideal, its simplicity makes real-time assessment of crowding feasible for more EDs nationwide.

摘要

研究目的

我们通过将急诊科占用率与急诊部工作指数评分(EDWIN,一种先前已验证的量表)进行比较,来检验急诊科占用率作为拥挤程度衡量指标的有效性。

方法

根据2005年6个学术性急诊科3个月期间的急诊就诊数据进行了一项多中心验证研究。计算了每小时的急诊科占用率(即急诊科患者总数除以许可床位总数)和EDWIN评分。确定了两种量表之间的相关性,并通过自抽样法估计的曲线下面积(AUC)统计量,评估它们区分有1名或多名患者未就诊离开的时段和急诊科实施救护车分流时段的能力,以此来评估其有效性。

结果

我们计算了6个急诊科中每个科室连续2208小时的急诊科占用率和EDWIN评分。两种量表之间的总体相关性为0.58(95%置信区间[CI]为0.56至0.60)。在正确识别患者未就诊离开的时段方面,急诊科占用率(AUC = 0.73;95% CI为0.65至0.80)和EDWIN(AUC = 0.65;95% CI为0.58至0.72)没有显著差异。在急诊科分流时段方面,急诊科占用率(AUC = 0.78;95% CI为0.75至0.80)和EDWIN(AUC = 0.70;95% CI为0.59至0.81)表现相似。

结论

急诊科占用率和EDWIN对未就诊离开和救护车分流时段的分类具有中等准确性。尽管急诊科占用率并不理想,但其简单性使得全国更多的急诊科能够对拥挤程度进行实时评估。

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