Bredemeier Keith, Berenbaum Howard
Department of Psychology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, USA.
Behav Res Ther. 2008 Jan;46(1):28-38. doi: 10.1016/j.brat.2007.09.006. Epub 2007 Sep 29.
The present study examined the relations between dimensions of intolerance of uncertainty (i.e., desire for predictability and uncertainty paralysis) and perceptions of threat (i.e., perceptions of the probabilities and costs of future undesirable outcomes) in a sample of 239 college students. Uncertainty paralysis was positively associated with both perceived probabilities and perceived costs for negative outcomes. Desire for predictability was positively associated with perceived costs for negative outcomes but was not associated with perceived probabilities for negative outcomes. When probability estimates for low base rate outcomes were examined separately, desire for predictability was negatively associated with perceived probabilities. Finally, perceived threat partially mediated the relations between dimensions of intolerance of uncertainty and worry. The results of the present study suggest mechanisms through which dimensions of intolerance of uncertainty might lead to excessive worry.
本研究在239名大学生样本中,考察了不确定性不耐受维度(即对可预测性的渴望和不确定性麻痹)与威胁感知(即对未来不良结果的概率和代价的感知)之间的关系。不确定性麻痹与负面结果的感知概率和感知代价均呈正相关。对可预测性的渴望与负面结果的感知代价呈正相关,但与负面结果的感知概率无关。当单独考察低基础率结果的概率估计时,对可预测性的渴望与感知概率呈负相关。最后,感知威胁部分中介了不确定性不耐受维度与担忧之间的关系。本研究结果揭示了不确定性不耐受维度可能导致过度担忧的机制。