Choi Sung Hyuk, Lee Sung Woo, Hong Yun Sik, Kim Su Jin, Kim Nak Hoon
Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Korea University, Seoul, Korea.
Emerg Med Australas. 2007 Dec;19(6):501-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1742-6723.2007.01000.x.
The present study aimed to determine the plausibility of forecasting the outbreak of diseases based on the weather by analysing the impact of atmospheric temperature and humidity on the occurrence of different diseases.
The subjects of the present study were the 30,434 patients who visited the ED in 1 year from 1 February 2005 to 3 February 2006. The present study analysed the correlation between the daily number of patients who suffered from 22 types of traumatic and non-traumatic diseases and the data on atmospheric temperature and humidity provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration.
With traumatic disease, the occurrence tended to increase in proportion to the rise in temperature and humidity; whereas with non-traumatic disease, the occurrence tended to increase according to the rise in temperature, irrespective of humidity changes. The research on the impact of atmospheric temperature and humidity on different diseases revealed a high level of distribution of most diseases in an environment with high temperature and humidity. However, in the case of pulmonary diseases and trauma to multiple body regions, the occurrence increased in environments with low temperature and high humidity for pulmonary diseases, and with low temperature and low humidity for trauma to multiple body regions.
Most diseases tend to increase in proportion to the rise in atmospheric temperature whereas being less affected by humidity. However, an increase in humidity in an optimum range of atmospheric temperature (12 degrees C or higher) triggers an increase in the occurrence of diseases.
本研究旨在通过分析气温和湿度对不同疾病发生的影响,确定基于天气预测疾病爆发的合理性。
本研究的对象为2005年2月1日至2006年2月3日这一年间到急诊科就诊的30434名患者。本研究分析了22种创伤性和非创伤性疾病的每日就诊患者数量与韩国气象厅提供的气温和湿度数据之间的相关性。
对于创伤性疾病,其发生率往往随温度和湿度的升高而增加;而对于非创伤性疾病,其发生率往往随温度升高而增加,与湿度变化无关。对气温和湿度对不同疾病影响的研究表明,大多数疾病在高温高湿环境中的分布水平较高。然而,对于肺部疾病和多部位创伤,肺部疾病在低温高湿环境中发生率增加,多部位创伤在低温低湿环境中发生率增加。
大多数疾病的发生率往往随气温升高而增加,而受湿度影响较小。然而,在最佳气温范围(12摄氏度或更高)内湿度增加会引发疾病发生率上升。