Kempf Mirjam-Colette, Allen Susan, Zulu Isaac, Kancheya Nzali, Stephenson Rob, Brill Ilene, Tichacek Amanda, Haworth Alan, Chomba Elwyn
Zambia-Emory HIV Research Project, Lusaka, Zambia.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2008 Jan 1;47(1):116-25. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0b013e31815d2f3f.
Biased enrollment and attrition compromise the power of clinical trials and limit generalizability of findings. We identify predictors of enrollment and retention for HIV-discordant couples enrolled in prospective studies in Zambia.
A total of 1995 discordant couples were invited to enroll. Predictors of nonenrollment, loss to follow-up, and missed appointments were evaluated using multivariate models. MF couples were more likely to be eligible and to enroll and less likely to be lost to follow-up than FM couples. Substantial losses to follow-up occurred between testing and enrollment (21.3% of MF and 28.1% of FM) and between enrollment and the first follow-up visit (24.9% of MF and 30.5% of FM). Among MF and FM couples, residence far from the clinic, younger age, and women's age at first intercourse </=17 years were predictive of attrition. No income, </=2 lifetime sex partners, no history of sexually transmitted infection in women, and recent extramarital contact in their male partners predicted attrition in FM couples.
Discordant couples are critical to observational studies and clinical trials to prevent male-to-female and female-to-male transmission. Retention biases must be taken into account during analysis. Run-in designs that delay randomization may improve retention in clinical trials.
有偏倚的入组和失访会损害临床试验的效力,并限制研究结果的可推广性。我们确定了参与赞比亚前瞻性研究的HIV抗体不一致夫妇的入组和留存预测因素。
总共邀请了1995对抗体不一致夫妇入组。使用多变量模型评估了未入组、失访和错过预约的预测因素。与女传男夫妇相比,男传女夫妇更有可能符合条件并入组,且失访的可能性更小。在检测和入组之间(男传女夫妇中有21.3%,女传男夫妇中有28.1%)以及入组和首次随访之间(男传女夫妇中有24.9%,女传男夫妇中有30.5%)出现了大量失访情况。在男传女和女传男夫妇中,居住地离诊所远、年龄较小以及女性初次性交年龄≤17岁是失访的预测因素。无收入、终身性伴侣≤2个、女性无性传播感染史以及男性伴侣近期有婚外接触是女传男夫妇失访的预测因素。
抗体不一致夫妇对于预防男传女和女传男传播的观察性研究和临床试验至关重要。在分析过程中必须考虑留存偏倚。延迟随机化的导入设计可能会提高临床试验中的留存率。