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人们在日常生活中察觉到哪些风险?从经验取样法(ESM)中获得的一种观点。

What risks do people perceive in everyday life? A perspective gained from the experience sampling method (ESM).

作者信息

Hogarth Robin M, Portell Mariona, Cuxart Anna

机构信息

Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Department of Economics and Business, Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27, 08005 Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2007 Dec;27(6):1427-39. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2007.00978.x.

Abstract

The experience sampling method (ESM) was used to collect data from 74 part-time students who described and assessed the risks involved in their current activities when interrupted at random moments by text messages. The major categories of perceived risk were short term in nature and involved "loss of time or materials" related to work and "physical damage" (e.g., from transportation). Using techniques of multilevel analysis, we demonstrate effects of gender, emotional state, and types of risk on assessments of risk. Specifically, females do not differ from males in assessing the potential severity of risks but they see these as more likely to occur. Also, participants assessed risks to be lower when in more positive self-reported emotional states. We further demonstrate the potential of ESM by showing that risk assessments associated with current actions exceed those made retrospectively. We conclude by noting advantages and disadvantages of ESM for collecting data about risk perceptions.

摘要

经验取样法(ESM)被用于从74名兼职学生那里收集数据,这些学生在被短信随机打断时,描述并评估了他们当前活动中所涉及的风险。感知风险的主要类别本质上是短期的,涉及与工作相关的“时间或材料损失”以及“身体损伤”(例如,来自交通方面的)。运用多层次分析技术,我们展示了性别、情绪状态和风险类型对风险评估的影响。具体而言,女性在评估风险的潜在严重性方面与男性没有差异,但她们认为这些风险更有可能发生。此外,当参与者自我报告处于更积极的情绪状态时,他们对风险的评估更低。我们通过表明与当前行动相关的风险评估超过回顾性评估,进一步展示了经验取样法的潜力。我们在结尾指出了经验取样法在收集有关风险认知数据方面的优缺点。

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