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海洋石油泄漏影响的模拟——以阿拉伯湾为例

Simulation of impact of oil spill in the ocean--a case study of Arabian Gulf.

作者信息

Verma Parikshit, Wate Satish R, Devotta Sukumar

机构信息

National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI), Nagpur, 440020, India.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2008 Nov;146(1-3):191-201. doi: 10.1007/s10661-007-0071-y. Epub 2007 Dec 20.

DOI:10.1007/s10661-007-0071-y
PMID:18095178
Abstract

To meet the growing energy demand worldwide, oil and gas exploration and production activities have increased rapidly both in onshore and offshore areas. The produced oil from the ocean bed is transported onshore either by ship or pipeline. This has increased the risk of oil spill in the coastal area. In order to prepare an emergency preparedness plan and to assess the magnitude of risk involved in transporting and offloading oil, oil spill simulation studies play an important role. This paper describes a simulation of oil spill in coastal bay of Arabian Gulf where new developments are taking place using MIKE 21 model. The developments include a diesel based thermal power plant near Sir Baniyas Island, which is an ecological fragile area. Based on the project activity, two probable scenarios, one for diesel leak (250 m3/h) for 1 h and the other for instantaneous spill (500 m3) are considered. The MIKE 21 model was calibrated for hydrodynamics using measured field data followed by diesel-spill simulation to track its movement in the Arabian Gulf. The results for both leak and instantaneous spill indicate that spilled diesel will not move towards the Sir Banyas Island and more than 45% of the diesel will be evaporated within 48 h of oil spill. Based on the results, a clean up and contingency plan is proposed to mitigate the adverse impacts arising due to diesel spill in the study area.

摘要

为满足全球不断增长的能源需求,陆上和海上的石油和天然气勘探及生产活动均迅速增加。从海床开采出来的石油通过船舶或管道输送至岸上。这增加了沿海地区发生石油泄漏的风险。为制定应急预案并评估石油运输和卸载过程中涉及的风险程度,石油泄漏模拟研究发挥着重要作用。本文描述了利用MIKE 21模型对阿拉伯湾沿海海湾石油泄漏进行的模拟,该地区正在进行新的开发项目。这些开发项目包括在生态脆弱地区巴尼亚斯岛附近建设一座以柴油为燃料的热电厂。基于项目活动,考虑了两种可能的情景,一种是柴油泄漏(250立方米/小时)持续1小时,另一种是瞬间泄漏(500立方米)。利用实测现场数据对MIKE 21模型进行水动力校准,随后进行柴油泄漏模拟以追踪其在阿拉伯湾的移动情况。泄漏和瞬间泄漏的结果均表明,泄漏的柴油不会流向巴尼亚斯岛,且超过45%的柴油将在石油泄漏后的48小时内蒸发。基于这些结果,提出了一项清理和应急计划,以减轻研究区域内柴油泄漏造成的不利影响。

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Planning for the human dimensions of oil spills and spill response.溢油事故及其应对的人为因素规划。

本文引用的文献

1
Trajectory of an oil spill off Goa, eastern Arabian Sea: field observations and simulations.阿拉伯海东部果阿沿海石油泄漏的轨迹:实地观测与模拟
Environ Pollut. 2007 Jul;148(2):438-44. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2006.12.017. Epub 2007 Feb 7.
2
Spill accident modeling: a critical survey of the event-decision network in the context of IMO's formal safety assessment.泄漏事故建模:在国际海事组织正式安全评估背景下对事件决策网络的批判性审视。
J Hazard Mater. 2004 Feb 27;107(1-2):59-66. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2003.11.010.
Environ Manage. 2010 Apr;45(4):723-38. doi: 10.1007/s00267-010-9447-9. Epub 2010 Feb 19.