Efferson Charles
Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Rd., Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA.
Nonlinear Dynamics Psychol Life Sci. 2008 Jan;12(1):55-74.
Economic growth theory and theoretical ecology represent independent traditions of modeling aggregate consumer-resource systems. Both focus on different but equally important forces underlying the dynamics of human societies. Though the two traditions have unknowingly converged in some ways, they each have curious conventions from the perspective of the other. These conventions are reviewed, and two separate modeling frameworks that integrate the two traditions in a simple and straightforward fashion are developed and analyzed. The resulting models represent a consumer species (e.g. humans) that both produces and consumes its resources and then reproduces biologically according to the consumption of its resources. Depending on the balance between production, consumption, and reproduction, the models can exhibit stagnant behavior, like some predator-prey models, or growth, like many mutualism and economic growth models. When growth occurs, in the long term it takes one of two forms. Either resources per capita grow and the human population size converges to a constant, which may be zero, or resources per capita converge to a constant and the human population grows. The difference depends on initial conditions and the particular mix of biological conditions and human technology.
经济增长理论和理论生态学代表了对总体消费者 - 资源系统进行建模的独立传统。两者都关注人类社会动态背后不同但同样重要的力量。尽管这两种传统在某些方面不知不觉地趋同了,但从对方的角度来看,它们各自都有奇特的惯例。本文回顾了这些惯例,并开发和分析了两个以简单直接的方式整合这两种传统的独立建模框架。由此产生的模型代表了一个消费者物种(例如人类),它既生产又消耗自身的资源,然后根据资源的消耗进行生物繁殖。根据生产、消费和繁殖之间的平衡,这些模型可以表现出停滞行为,就像一些捕食者 - 猎物模型一样,或者表现出增长,就像许多互利共生和经济增长模型一样。当出现增长时,从长期来看它会呈现两种形式之一。要么人均资源增长且人口规模收敛到一个常数,这个常数可能为零,要么人均资源收敛到一个常数且人口增长。这种差异取决于初始条件以及生物条件和人类技术的特定组合。