White Richard G, Orroth Kate K, Glynn Judith R, Freeman Esther E, Bakker Roel, Habbema J Dik F, Terris-Prestholt Fern, Kumaranayake Lilani, Buvé Anne, Hayes Richard J
Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2008 Mar 1;47(3):346-53. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0b013e318160d56a.
Evidence regarding the effectiveness of sexually transmitted infection (STI) treatment for HIV prevention in Africa is equivocal, leading some policy makers to question whether it should continue to be promoted for HIV control. We explore whether treating curable STIs remains a cost-effective HIV control strategy in Africa.
The model STDSIM was fitted to the characteristics of 4 populations in East and West Africa. Over the simulated HIV epidemics, the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of incident HIV attributable to STIs, the impact of syndromic STI management on HIV incidence, and the cost per HIV infection averted were evaluated and compared with an estimate of lifetime HIV treatment costs (US $3500).
Throughout the HIV epidemics in all cities, the total PAF for. all STIs remained high, with > or = 50% of HIV transmission attributed to STIs. The PAF for herpes simplex virus type 2 increased during the epidemics, whereas the PAF for curable STIs and the relative impact of syndromic management decreased. The models showed that the absolute impact of syndromic management remains high in generalized epidemics, and it remained cost-saving in 3 of the 4 populations in which the cost per HIV infection averted ranged between US $321 and $1665.
Curable STI interventions may remain cost-saving in populations with generalized HIV epidemics, particularly in populations with high-risk behaviors or low male circumcision rates.
关于在非洲进行性传播感染(STI)治疗以预防艾滋病毒的有效性的证据并不明确,这使得一些政策制定者质疑是否应继续推广其用于艾滋病毒控制。我们探讨在非洲治疗可治愈的性传播感染是否仍然是一种具有成本效益的艾滋病毒控制策略。
模型STDSIM根据东非和西非4个人口群体的特征进行拟合。在模拟的艾滋病毒流行过程中,评估了性传播感染导致的艾滋病毒新发感染的人群归因分数(PAF)、症状性性传播感染管理对艾滋病毒发病率的影响以及避免每例艾滋病毒感染的成本,并与终身艾滋病毒治疗成本估计值(3500美元)进行比较。
在所有城市的艾滋病毒流行过程中,所有性传播感染的总PAF仍然很高,超过或等于50%的艾滋病毒传播归因于性传播感染。在流行过程中,2型单纯疱疹病毒的PAF增加,而可治愈性传播感染的PAF和症状性管理的相对影响下降。模型显示,在广泛流行中,症状性管理的绝对影响仍然很高,并且在4个人口群体中的3个群体中仍然具有成本效益,其中避免每例艾滋病毒感染的成本在321美元至1665美元之间。
在艾滋病毒广泛流行的人群中,尤其是在具有高风险行为或低男性包皮环切率的人群中,可治愈的性传播感染干预措施可能仍然具有成本效益。