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银行危机是否会伤“心”?

Can a bank crisis break your heart?

机构信息

University of Cambridge, Faculty of Social & Political Sciences, Free School Lane, Cambridge CB2 3RQ, UK.

出版信息

Global Health. 2008 Jan 15;4:1. doi: 10.1186/1744-8603-4-1.

DOI:10.1186/1744-8603-4-1
PMID:18197979
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2244604/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

To assess whether a banking system crisis increases short-term population cardiovascular mortality rates.

METHODS

International, longitudinal multivariate regression analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality data from 1960 to 2002

RESULTS

A system-wide banking crisis increases population heart disease mortality rates by 6.4% (95% CI: 2.5% to 10.2%, p < 0.01) in high income countries, after controlling for economic change, macroeconomic instability, and population age and social distribution. The estimated effect is nearly four times as large in low income countries.

CONCLUSION

Banking crises are a significant determinant of short-term increases in heart disease mortality rates, and may have more severe consequences for developing countries.

摘要

背景

评估银行体系危机是否会增加短期人口心血管死亡率。

方法

对 1960 年至 2002 年心血管疾病死亡率数据进行国际、纵向多变量回归分析。

结果

在高收入国家,系统范围的银行危机使人群心脏病死亡率增加 6.4%(95%CI:2.5%至 10.2%,p<0.01),在控制经济变化、宏观经济不稳定以及人口年龄和社会分布后。在低收入国家,估计的影响几乎是前者的四倍。

结论

银行危机是短期心脏病死亡率上升的一个重要决定因素,对发展中国家可能产生更严重的后果。