Belle S H, Beringer K C, Murphy J B, Plummer C C, Breen T J, Edwards E B, Daily O P, Detre K M
Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Clin Transpl. 1991:13-29.
Between 1988 and 1990, the frequency of liver transplantation in the United States increased by 57%. During this same period, the number of transplant centers performing this procedure increased from 58 to 80. Despite this increase, only 15 centers reported a total of at least 100 procedures during these 3 years, compared to 25 centers that performed 12 or less liver transplantations. Recipient characteristics have been changing over time: a larger proportion of recipients were males in 1990 than in 1988 or 1989. The distribution of recipients changed dramatically; the median age increased by 4 years, due to an increased proportion of transplantations among those age 40 and older and a decrease in children younger then age 10. Another major change was in functional status; in 1988 and 1989, over half of the recipients were hospitalized while awaiting transplantation, but this was reversed in 1990, when the majority of patients was at home awaiting transplantation. Furthermore, the proportion of patients in the highest functional class more than tripled. Alcoholic liver disease, which in 1989 became the most common primary liver disease of patients undergoing liver transplantation, continues to be the indication for an increasing number of recipients. The proportion of recipients with biliary atresia and primary biliary cirrhosis, the most common diagnoses in 1988, continues to decrease. Most of the mortality was noted in the first 6 months, when overall cumulative patient mortality was about 20%, half of which occurred in the first 4 weeks after OLTX. The cumulative 3-year posttransplant survival rate was 67%. Similarly, cumulative retransplant-free survival rates were 84% at 1 month and 58% at 3 years. As previously described (1), recipient factors associated with survival included age, UNOS description, diagnosis, and ABO matching. Older recipients, those with poorer functional status at time of transplantation, recipients with either fulminant liver failure or malignancies, and those who received a graft from an ABO-compatible or -incompatible donor, had the worst survival rates. Furthermore, in the current analysis we found that the outcome of recipients was affected adversely by grafts from female donors. Racial differences were noted, but the large quantity of missing data precluded definitive statements regarding any association with survival. Both recipient and donor ages were significant prognostic factors. For adults in the multivariate model, increasing recipient age was associated with higher mortality. Among children, however, younger donor age seemed to have an adverse effect on recipient survival. Donor characteristics also changed during this period.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
1988年至1990年间,美国肝脏移植的频率增长了57%。在同一时期,开展该手术的移植中心数量从58个增加到了80个。尽管有这种增长,但在这3年中,只有15个中心报告总共进行了至少100例手术,而有25个中心进行了12例或更少的肝脏移植手术。受者特征随时间不断变化:1990年男性受者的比例高于1988年或1989年。受者的分布发生了巨大变化;中位年龄增加了4岁,这是由于40岁及以上人群的移植比例增加以及10岁以下儿童的移植比例下降所致。另一个主要变化是功能状态;1988年和1989年,超过一半的受者在等待移植期间住院,但在1990年情况相反,当时大多数患者在家中等待移植。此外,功能等级最高的患者比例增加了两倍多。酒精性肝病在1989年成为接受肝脏移植患者最常见的原发性肝病,并且仍是越来越多受者的移植指征。1988年最常见的诊断——胆道闭锁和原发性胆汁性肝硬化患者的比例持续下降。大多数死亡发生在最初6个月,此时患者总体累积死亡率约为20%,其中一半发生在肝移植术后的前4周。移植后3年的累积生存率为67%。同样,1个月时无再次移植的累积生存率为84%,3年时为58%。如前所述(1),与生存相关的受者因素包括年龄、器官共享联合网络(UNOS)的描述、诊断和ABO血型匹配。年龄较大的受者、移植时功能状态较差的受者、暴发性肝衰竭或恶性肿瘤患者以及接受ABO血型相容或不相容供体移植物的受者,生存率最差。此外,在当前分析中我们发现,女性供体的移植物对受者的预后有不利影响。注意到了种族差异,但大量缺失数据妨碍了就与生存的任何关联作出明确表述。受者和供者的年龄都是重要的预后因素。在多变量模型中,对于成年人,受者年龄增加与死亡率升高相关。然而,在儿童中,供者年龄较小似乎对受者生存有不利影响。在此期间供者特征也发生了变化。(摘要截选至400字)