Pautasso Marco, Chiarucci Alessandro
Division of Biology, Imperial College London, Wye Campus, High Street, Wye, Kent TN25 5AH, UK.
Ann Bot. 2008 Apr;101(5):709-15. doi: 10.1093/aob/mcn010. Epub 2008 Feb 4.
The spatial correlation of the presence of people and species has been suggested to be scale-dependent. At local scales, large numbers of people often result in species impoverishment. At coarse scales, species-rich regions tend to be densely inhabited. Recently, broad-scale human presence has been shown to be correlated not only with numbers of species but also with their abundance, as predicted by the more-individuals hypothesis. However, it is not known whether the species abundance-human presence correlation could also be scale-dependent.
This hypothesis was tested by use of a database of veteran trees in Italy. Veteran tree species richness and number of individuals were modelled as a function of human population size at two grains of analysis (provinces and regions), controlling for variations in area, latitude and spatial autocorrelation.
A positive correlation was found between human presence and veteran tree species. As predicted, this correlation was stronger at a coarser resolution. However, only at the provincial but not regional level was there a positive correlation between human presence and veteran tree abundance when controlling for area and latitude. These results were confirmed for native and exotic trees.
The present findings rule out the more-individuals hypothesis as an explanation of the scale-dependence of the species-people correlation for veteran trees in Italy. Potential mechanisms behind the observed spatial coincidence of high numbers of people and veteran tree species are discussed and implications for conservation are highlighted.
人与物种分布的空间相关性被认为具有尺度依赖性。在局部尺度上,大量人口往往导致物种丰富度下降。在粗略尺度上,物种丰富的地区往往人口密集。最近,正如“更多个体”假说所预测的那样,大规模的人类活动不仅与物种数量相关,还与物种丰度相关。然而,尚不清楚物种丰度与人类活动的相关性是否也具有尺度依赖性。
利用意大利古树数据库对这一假说进行了检验。在两个分析尺度(省份和地区)上,将古树物种丰富度和个体数量建模为人口规模的函数,并控制面积、纬度和空间自相关性的变化。
发现人类活动与古树物种之间存在正相关。正如预测的那样,这种相关性在较粗略的分辨率下更强。然而,在控制面积和纬度时,只有在省级层面而非地区层面,人类活动与古树丰度之间存在正相关。这些结果在本地树和外来树上均得到证实。
本研究结果排除了“更多个体”假说作为意大利古树物种与人类相关性尺度依赖性的一种解释。讨论了观察到的大量人口与古树物种空间巧合背后的潜在机制,并强调了其对保护的意义。