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法属波利尼西亚甲状腺癌病例对照研究中个体辐射剂量的重建。

Reconstruction of individual radiation doses for a case-control study of thyroid cancer in French Polynesia.

作者信息

Drozdovitch Vladimir, Bouville André, Doyon Françoise, Brindel Pauline, Cardis Elisabeth, de Vathaire Florent

机构信息

International Agency for Research on Cancer, 150, Cours Albert Thomas, Lyon, Cedex 08, F-69372, France.

出版信息

Health Phys. 2008 May;94(5):418-33. doi: 10.1097/01.HP.0000299293.06218.88.

Abstract

Forty-one atmospheric nuclear weapons tests (plus five safety tests) were conducted in French Polynesia between 1966 and 1974. To evaluate the potential role of atmospheric nuclear weapons testing on a high incidence of thyroid cancer observed since 1985 in French Polynesia, a population-based case-control study was performed. The study included 602 subjects, either cases or controls, all aged less than 40 y at the end of nuclear weapons testing in 1974. Radiation doses to the thyroids of the study subjects were assessed based on the available historical results of radiation measurements. These were mainly found in the annual reports on the radiological situation in French Polynesia that had been sent to the UNSCEAR Secretariat. For each atmospheric nuclear weapons test that contributed substantially to the local deposition of radionuclides, the radiation dose to the thyroid from I intake was estimated. In addition, thyroid doses from the intake of short-lived radioiodines (132I, 133I, 135I) and 132Te, external exposure from gamma-emitted radionuclides deposited on the ground, and ingestion of long-lived Cs were reconstructed. The mean thyroid dose among the study subjects was found to be around 3 mGy while the highest dose was estimated to be around 40 mGy. Doses from short-lived iodine and tellurium isotopes ranged up to 10 mGy. Thyroid doses from external exposure ranged up to 3 mGy, while those from internal exposure due to cesium ingestion did not exceed 1 mGy. The dose estimates that have been obtained are based on a rather limited number of radiation measurements performed on a limited number of islands and are highly uncertain. A thorough compilation of the results of all radiation monitoring that was performed in French Polynesia in 1966-1974 would be likely to greatly improve the reliability and the precision of the dose estimates.

摘要

1966年至1974年间,法国在法属波利尼西亚进行了41次大气层核武器试验(外加5次安全试验)。为评估大气层核武器试验对1985年以来法属波利尼西亚观察到的甲状腺癌高发病率的潜在作用,开展了一项基于人群的病例对照研究。该研究纳入了602名研究对象,包括病例组和对照组,所有对象在1974年核武器试验结束时年龄均小于40岁。根据现有的辐射测量历史结果评估研究对象甲状腺所接受的辐射剂量。这些结果主要见于已提交给联合国原子辐射影响科学委员会(UNSCEAR)秘书处的法属波利尼西亚辐射状况年度报告。对于每次对当地放射性核素沉积有重大贡献的大气层核武器试验,估算了因摄入碘而导致的甲状腺辐射剂量。此外,还重建了因摄入短寿命放射性碘(132I、133I、135I)和132Te、地面沉积的伽马发射放射性核素的外照射以及摄入长寿命铯所导致的甲状腺剂量。研究对象的平均甲状腺剂量约为3毫戈瑞,而最高剂量估计约为40毫戈瑞。短寿命碘和碲同位素的剂量最高可达10毫戈瑞。外照射导致的甲状腺剂量最高可达3毫戈瑞,而因摄入铯导致的内照射剂量不超过1毫戈瑞。所获得的剂量估计值是基于在有限数量的岛屿上进行的相当有限的辐射测量得出的,具有高度不确定性。全面汇编1966 - 1974年在法属波利尼西亚进行的所有辐射监测结果,可能会大大提高剂量估计的可靠性和精确度。

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