Peeler E J, Oidtmann B C
Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Barrack Road, The Nothe, Weymouth DT4 8UB, UK.
Dis Aquat Organ. 2008 Mar 3;79(1):47-56. doi: 10.3354/dao01880.
This paper describes an approach to demonstrate freedom of individual rainbow trout farms from Gyrodactylus salaris Malmberg, 1957. The infection status of individual farms is relevant should G. salaris be introduced into a country or zone previously known to be free of the parasite. Trade from farms where G. salaris may have been introduced would be restricted until freedom had been demonstrated. Cage, fish and parasite sample sizes were calculated based on the minimum detectable prevalence (P*), test characteristics, population size, and Type I and II errors. Between 5 and 23 cages per farm would need to be sampled to demonstrate freedom at a cage level P* of 10%. The number of fish sampled per cage depended mainly on the test sensitivity (probability of correctly identifying an infected fish). Assuming a test sensitivity of 99% at the fish level, 59 fish per cage are needed (P* = 5%). Since G. salaris may exist in mixed infection with G. derjavini, testing a sample of gyrodactylid parasites may not result in the parasite being detected when present. Test sensitivity at the fish level depends on the number of gyrodactylids on the fish, the proportion of which are G. salaris and the number examined. Assuming a P* of 5% (i.e. G. salaris are at least 5% of the gyrodactylid population), between 20 and 73 parasites per fish would need to be sampled (depending on abundance) to maintain the Type I error at 0.01 (thus a fish level test sensitivity of 99%). This work identifies the critical information, and further research, needed to assess freedom from G. salaris with a known level of confidence; this is essential to provide a sound scientific basis for decision-making about disease control measures.
本文描述了一种证明单个虹鳟鱼养殖场未感染1957年马尔姆贝格发现的鲑三代虫(Gyrodactylus salaris)的方法。如果鲑三代虫被引入到一个先前已知没有该寄生虫的国家或区域,那么各个养殖场的感染状况就很重要。在证明养殖场未感染之前,来自可能已引入鲑三代虫的养殖场的贸易将受到限制。网箱、鱼和寄生虫的样本量是根据最低可检测流行率(P*)、检测特性、种群规模以及I型和II型错误来计算的。每个养殖场需要对5至23个网箱进行采样,以证明在网箱水平P为10%时未感染。每个网箱采样的鱼的数量主要取决于检测灵敏度(正确识别感染鱼的概率)。假设在鱼的水平检测灵敏度为99%,则每个网箱需要59条鱼(P = 5%)。由于鲑三代虫可能与德氏三代虫(G. derjavini)混合感染,检测三代虫寄生虫样本时,即使存在该寄生虫也可能检测不到。鱼的水平检测灵敏度取决于鱼身上三代虫的数量、其中鲑三代虫的比例以及检测的数量。假设P*为5%(即鲑三代虫至少占三代虫种群的5%),为将I型错误维持在0.01(从而鱼的水平检测灵敏度为99%),每条鱼需要采样20至73个寄生虫(取决于丰度)。这项工作确定了以已知置信水平评估无鲑三代虫所需的关键信息和进一步研究;这对于为疾病控制措施的决策提供坚实的科学依据至关重要。