Osterstock J B, Fosgate G T, Cohen N D, Derr J N, Roussel A J
Department of Large Animal Clinical Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station 77843, USA.
J Anim Sci. 2008 Aug;86(8):1977-83. doi: 10.2527/jas.2008-0910. Epub 2008 May 9.
A cross-sectional study was performed to determine the odds of having a positive paratuberculosis ELISA result if the dam was ELISA positive in Texas beef cattle, adjusted for individual and herd-level risk factors for seropositivity. Texas beef cattle (n = 2,621) were tested for paratuberculosis by using a commercial ELISA and microbiologic culture of feces for Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (MAP). Pedigree data were collected to identify dam-and sire-offspring pairs. Bayesian mixed-effects logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of seropositivity associated with age, dam ELISA status, sire ELISA status, herd size, herd history of clinical paratuberculosis, within-herd seroprevalence, within-herd fecal MAP prevalence, and within-herd fecal non-MAP Mycobacterium spp. prevalence. Herd of residence was included as a random effect to account for the correlation of observations within the same herd. Statistically probable associations were observed between ELISA status and herd fecal MAP prevalence [OR (odds ratio) 1.28 per 1% increase; P < 0.001] and herd seroprevalence (OR 1.21 per 1% increase; P < 0.001). The association with dam ELISA status was small (OR 1.35) and not highly probable (P = 0.69). Results indicate that use of dam ELISA status to make culling decisions in beef cattle may not improve the success of paratuberculosis control programs. Alternative strategies may be more effective for reducing the odds of seropositivity.
进行了一项横断面研究,以确定在德克萨斯肉牛中,如果母牛的副结核病酶联免疫吸附测定(ELISA)结果呈阳性,那么其后代ELISA结果为阳性的几率,并针对个体和畜群水平的血清阳性风险因素进行了调整。使用商业ELISA和粪便中鸟分枝杆菌副结核亚种(MAP)的微生物培养法对2621头德克萨斯肉牛进行了副结核病检测。收集系谱数据以识别母牛与公牛及其后代的配对。采用贝叶斯混合效应逻辑回归来估计与年龄、母牛ELISA状态、公牛ELISA状态、畜群规模、临床副结核病畜群病史、畜群内血清阳性率、畜群内粪便MAP患病率以及畜群内粪便非MAP分枝杆菌属患病率相关的血清阳性几率。将居住畜群作为随机效应纳入,以考虑同一畜群内观察结果的相关性。在ELISA状态与畜群粪便MAP患病率[比值比(OR)每增加1%为1.28;P<0.001]和畜群血清阳性率(OR每增加1%为1.21;P<0.001)之间观察到具有统计学意义的关联。与母牛ELISA状态的关联较小(OR为1.35)且可能性不高(P=0.69)。结果表明,利用母牛ELISA状态对肉牛进行淘汰决策可能无法提高副结核病控制计划的成功率。其他策略可能在降低血清阳性几率方面更有效。