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对地方经济而言,中等技术产业可能比“高科技”公司更为重要:衡量经济系统知识基础的新方法。

Medium-tech industries may be of greater importance to a local economy than 'High-tech' firms: new methods for measuring the knowledge base of an economic system.

作者信息

Dolfsma Wilfred, Leydesdorff Loet

出版信息

Med Hypotheses. 2008 Sep;71(3):330-4. doi: 10.1016/j.mehy.2008.04.021. Epub 2008 Jun 17.

DOI:10.1016/j.mehy.2008.04.021
PMID:18562128
Abstract

In this paper we offer a way to measure the knowledge base of an economy in terms of probabilistic entropy. This measure, we hypothesize, is an indication of the extent to which a system, including the economic system, self-organizes. In a self-organizing system, interactions between dimensions or subsystems will unintentionally give rise to anticipations that are properly aligned. The potential reduction of uncertainty can be measured as negative entropy in the mutual information among three (or more) dimensions. For a knowledge-based economy, three dimensions can be considered as key: the distribution of firm sizes, the geographical locations, and the technological classifications of firms. Based on statistics of these three dimensions and drawing on a unique dataset of all Dutch firms registered with the Chambers of Commerce, we are able to refine well-known empirical findings for the geographical dimension. Counter-intuitive, however, are our empirical findings for the dimension of technology. Knowledge diffusion through medium-tech industry is much more important for a localized economy than knowledge creation in high-tech industry. Knowledge-intensive services tend to uncouple economic activities from the regional dimension.

摘要

在本文中,我们提供了一种基于概率熵来衡量经济体知识库的方法。我们假设,这种衡量方法表明了一个系统,包括经济系统,进行自我组织的程度。在一个自我组织的系统中,不同维度或子系统之间的相互作用会无意地产生恰当对齐的预期。不确定性的潜在降低可以用三个(或更多)维度之间互信息中的负熵来衡量。对于知识型经济而言,三个维度可被视为关键:企业规模分布、地理位置以及企业的技术分类。基于这三个维度的统计数据,并借助荷兰商会注册的所有企业的独特数据集,我们能够完善地理维度方面的著名实证研究结果。然而,我们关于技术维度的实证研究结果却有违直觉。对于本地化经济来说,通过中等技术产业进行的知识传播比高科技产业中的知识创造更为重要。知识密集型服务往往会使经济活动与区域维度脱钩。

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