Iversen L H, Bülow S, Christensen I J, Laurberg S, Harling H
Department of Surgery P, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Br J Surg. 2008 Aug;95(8):1012-9. doi: 10.1002/bjs.6114.
Only a few small studies have evaluated risk factors related to early death following emergency surgery for colonic cancer. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for death within 30 days after such surgery.
Some 2157 patients who underwent emergency treatment for colonic cancer from May 2001 to December 2005 were identified from the national colorectal cancer registry. Thirty-day mortality rates were calculated and risk factors for early death were identified using logistic regression analysis.
The overall 30-day mortality rate was 22.1 per cent. The strongest risk factor for early death was postoperative medical complications (cardiopulmonary, renal, thromboembolic and infectious), with an odds ratio of 11.7 (95 per cent confidence interval 8.8 to 15.5). Such complications occurred in 24.4 per cent of patients, of whom 57.8 per cent died. Other independent risk factors were age at least 71 years, male sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade III or more, palliative outcome, tumour perforation, splenectomy and adverse intraoperative surgical events. Postoperative surgical complications were noted in 20.4 per cent of the patients but had no statistically significant influence on mortality.
Emergency surgery for colonic cancer is still associated with an increased risk of death. There is a need for a system providing increased safety in the perioperative period.
仅有少数小型研究评估了结肠癌急诊手术后与早期死亡相关的风险因素。本研究的目的是确定此类手术后30天内死亡的风险因素。
从国家结直肠癌登记处识别出2001年5月至2005年12月期间接受结肠癌急诊治疗的约2157例患者。计算30天死亡率,并使用逻辑回归分析确定早期死亡的风险因素。
总体30天死亡率为22.1%。早期死亡的最强风险因素是术后医疗并发症(心肺、肾脏、血栓栓塞和感染性),比值比为11.7(95%置信区间8.8至15.5)。此类并发症发生在24.4%的患者中,其中57.8%死亡。其他独立风险因素包括年龄至少71岁、男性、美国麻醉医师协会分级为III级或更高、姑息性结局、肿瘤穿孔、脾切除术和术中不良手术事件。20.4%的患者出现术后手术并发症,但对死亡率无统计学显著影响。
结肠癌急诊手术仍与死亡风险增加相关。需要一个在围手术期提高安全性的系统。