Baker M, Das D, Venugopal K, Howden-Chapman P
Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, PO Box 7343, Wellington South, New Zealand.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2008 Aug;62(8):715-21. doi: 10.1136/jech.2007.063610.
Tuberculosis (TB) remains an important infectious disease in New Zealand (NZ) and globally, but risk factors for transmission are still poorly understood. This research aimed to identify whether household crowding contributes to TB transmission in NZ.
This ecological study used TB surveillance and census data to calculate TB incidence rates by census area unit (CAU). Census data were used to determine CAU characteristics including proportion of household crowding (a bedroom deficit of one or more), proportion of population who are migrants born in high-TB-incidence countries, median household income, and deprivation level. A negative binomial regression model was used to estimate the association between TB incidence and household crowding.
The analysis included 1898 notified TB cases for the 2000-4 period. Univariate analysis showed TB incidence at the CAU level was associated with household crowding, for the total population and for all ethnic and age groups. After adjusting for the covariates of household income, existing TB burden, and proportion of migrants from high-TB-incidence countries, multivariate analysis showed statistically significant associations between TB incidence and household crowding. The incidence rate ratio (IRR) was 1.05 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.08) in the total population and 1.08 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.12) for NZ-born people <40 years.
At the CAU level, TB incidence in NZ is associated with household crowding. An individual-based study (e.g. case-control) in recently infected cases (detected by molecular epidemiology techniques) is suggested to complement these findings. Reducing or eliminating household crowding could decrease TB incidence in NZ and globally.
结核病在新西兰(NZ)乃至全球仍是一种重要的传染病,但传播的风险因素仍知之甚少。本研究旨在确定家庭拥挤是否会导致新西兰的结核病传播。
这项生态学研究使用结核病监测和人口普查数据,按普查区域单位(CAU)计算结核病发病率。人口普查数据用于确定CAU的特征,包括家庭拥挤比例(缺少一间或多间卧室)、出生在结核病高发病率国家的移民人口比例、家庭收入中位数和贫困水平。使用负二项回归模型估计结核病发病率与家庭拥挤之间的关联。
分析纳入了2000 - 2004年期间1898例报告的结核病病例。单因素分析显示,在CAU层面,总人口以及所有种族和年龄组的结核病发病率均与家庭拥挤有关。在对家庭收入、现有结核病负担以及来自结核病高发病率国家的移民比例等协变量进行调整后,多因素分析显示结核病发病率与家庭拥挤之间存在统计学显著关联。总人口的发病率比(IRR)为1.05(95%CI 1.02至1.08),40岁以下的新西兰本土居民为1.08(95%CI 1.04至1.12)。
在CAU层面,新西兰的结核病发病率与家庭拥挤有关。建议对近期感染病例(通过分子流行病学技术检测)进行基于个体的研究(如病例对照研究)以补充这些发现。减少或消除家庭拥挤可能会降低新西兰乃至全球的结核病发病率。