Cameriere R, Ferrante L, De Angelis D, Scarpino F, Galli F
Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Macerata, Via D. Minzoni, 62100, Macerata, Italy.
Int J Legal Med. 2008 Nov;122(6):493-7. doi: 10.1007/s00414-008-0279-6. Epub 2008 Aug 28.
This paper concerns a method for assessing adult age based on the relationship between age and the third molar maturity index (I(3M)), which is related to the measurement of the open apices of the third molar. Furthermore, this method was compared to those based on Demirjian's stages G and H. The sample consisted of 906 Caucasian individuals aged between 14 and 23 years (53.6% females and 46.4% males). Orthopantomographs were analyzed by two observers and calibrated by means of the concordance correlation coefficient for the reproducibility of the third molar maturity index (I(3M)) and kappa statistics for reproducibility of the Demirjian stages. Probabilities for an individual to be older than 18 years of age (adult age) were derived using the measurements of the third molar maturity index (I(3M)). These results were exploited to set out a threshold value to assign an individual to juvenile or adult age. A cutoff value of I(3M) = 0.08 was taken. The sensitivity of this test was 70% and specificity was 98%. Furthermore, the proportion of individuals with a correct classification was 83%. The results of the test showed a better specificity when compared to the choice of stage G and a better sensitivity when compared to the choice of stage H for adult age.
本文涉及一种基于年龄与第三磨牙成熟指数(I(3M))之间的关系来评估成人年龄的方法,该指数与第三磨牙根尖孔开放的测量有关。此外,还将此方法与基于德米尔坚(Demirjian)G期和H期的方法进行了比较。样本由906名年龄在14至23岁之间的白种人个体组成(女性占53.6%,男性占46.4%)。两名观察者对全景曲面断层片进行分析,并通过一致性相关系数对第三磨牙成熟指数(I(3M))的可重复性以及德米尔坚分期的可重复性进行kappa统计校准。利用第三磨牙成熟指数(I(3M))的测量结果得出个体年龄大于18岁(成人年龄)的概率。利用这些结果设定一个阈值,以确定个体为青少年或成人年龄。选取I(3M) = 0.08作为临界值。该测试的敏感性为70%,特异性为98%。此外,正确分类的个体比例为83%。测试结果表明,与选择G期相比,该测试在成人年龄方面具有更好的特异性;与选择H期相比,具有更好的敏感性。