Katerndahl David
Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio, 7703 Floyd Curl Drive, San Antonio, TX 78229-3900, USA.
Nonlinear Dynamics Psychol Life Sci. 2008 Oct;12(4):409-24.
Despite increased health care utilization, patients with panic disorder continue to report unmet needs. The objective was to compare the fit of linear and Cusp Catastrophe Modeling in explaining changes in utilization of emergency, general and mental health settings, and self-treatments for panic symptoms. This community-based study surveyed 97 subjects with panic attacks drawn from a sample of randomly-selected adults from randomly-selected households. The stressor (splitting) variable used was Phobic Anxiety while predisposing variables included Family Health Care Utilization, Perceived Life Threat and Need For Treatment, and Treatment Experience. Outcomes consisted of the number of sites and self-treatments used for panic symptoms when first seeking care and during the 2 months prior to survey. Use of mental health sites and self-treatments demonstrated superior modeling with cusp catastrophe approaches using treatment experience as the predisposing variable, accounting for 47% and 38% of variances respectively, improving the fit by over 20% compared to the best linear models in both cases. Cusp catastrophe modeling accounted for more variance than all linear models when describing use of mental health settings and self-treatments. Cusp catastrophe may explain bimodal distributions in behavior, delays in behavior change, and sudden shifts in behavior in stressful situations.
尽管医疗保健利用率有所提高,但恐慌症患者仍报告有未满足的需求。目的是比较线性模型和尖点突变模型在解释急诊、普通和心理健康服务利用情况以及针对恐慌症状的自我治疗变化方面的拟合度。这项基于社区的研究对97名有恐慌发作的受试者进行了调查,这些受试者来自随机选择的家庭中的随机选择的成年人样本。所使用的应激源(分裂)变量是恐惧焦虑,而 predisposing变量包括家庭医疗保健利用率、感知到的生命威胁和治疗需求以及治疗经历。结果包括首次寻求治疗时以及调查前2个月内用于恐慌症状的服务机构数量和自我治疗情况。使用心理健康服务机构和自我治疗在以治疗经历作为predisposing变量的尖点突变方法建模方面表现更优,分别解释了47%和38%的方差,与两种情况下的最佳线性模型相比,拟合度提高了20%以上。在描述心理健康服务利用情况和自我治疗时,尖点突变模型解释的方差比所有线性模型都多。尖点突变可能解释行为的双峰分布、行为改变的延迟以及压力情境下行为的突然转变。