Sibai Baha M, Koch Matthew A, Freire Salvio, Pinto e Silva Joao Luiz, Rudge Marilza Vieira Cunha, Martins-Costa Sérgio, Bartz Janet, de Barros Santos Cleide, Cecatti Jose Guilherme, Costa Roberto, Ramos José Geraldo, Spinnato Joseph A
University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2008 Sep;199(3):268.e1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2008.06.071.
Our objective was to determine whether measurement of placenta growth factor (PLGF), inhibin A, or soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) at 2 times during pregnancy would usefully predict subsequent preeclampsia (PE) in women at high risk.
We analyzed serum obtained at enrollment (12(0/7) to 19(6/7) weeks) and follow-up (24-28 weeks) from 704 patients with previous PE and/or chronic hypertension (CHTN) enrolled in a randomized trial for the prevention of PE. Logistic regression analysis assessed the association of log-transformed markers with subsequent PE; receiver operating characteristic analysis assessed predictive value.
One hundred four developed preeclampsia: 27 at 37 weeks or longer and 77 at less than 37 weeks (9 at less than 27 weeks). None of the markers was associated with PE at 37 weeks or longer. Significant associations were observed between PE at less than 37 weeks and reduced PLGF levels at baseline (P = .022) and follow-up (P < .0001) and elevated inhibin A (P < .0001) and sFlt-1 (P = .0002) levels at follow-up; at 75% specificity, sensitivities ranged from 38% to 52%. Using changes in markers from baseline to follow-up, sensitivities were 52-55%. Associations were observed between baseline markers and PE less than 27 weeks (P < or = .0004 for all); sensitivities were 67-89%, but positive predictive values (PPVs) were only 3.4-4.5%.
Inhibin A and circulating angiogenic factors levels obtained at 12(0/7) to 19(6/7) weeks have significant associations with onset of PE at less than 27 weeks, as do levels obtained at 24-28 weeks with onset of PE at less than 37 weeks. However, because the corresponding sensitivities and/or PPVs were low, these markers might not be clinically useful to predict PE in women with previous PE and/or CHTN.
我们的目的是确定孕期两次测量胎盘生长因子(PLGF)、抑制素A或可溶性fms样酪氨酸激酶-1(sFlt-1)是否有助于预测高危女性随后发生的先兆子痫(PE)。
我们分析了参与一项预防PE随机试验的704例既往有PE和/或慢性高血压(CHTN)患者在入组时(12(0/7)至19(6/7)周)和随访时(24 - 28周)采集的血清。逻辑回归分析评估对数转换后的标志物与随后发生的PE之间的关联;受试者工作特征分析评估预测价值。
104例发生了先兆子痫:27例在37周及以后,77例在37周之前(9例在27周之前)。没有一个标志物与37周及以后发生的PE相关。观察到37周之前发生的PE与基线时(P = 0.022)和随访时(P < 0.0001)PLGF水平降低以及随访时抑制素A(P < 0.0001)和sFlt-1(P = 0.0002)水平升高之间存在显著关联;在75%的特异性下,敏感性范围为38%至52%。使用从基线到随访时标志物的变化,敏感性为52% - 55%。观察到基线标志物与27周之前发生的PE之间存在关联(所有P ≤ 0.0004);敏感性为67% - 89%,但阳性预测值(PPV)仅为3.4% - 4.5%。
在12(0/7)至19(6/7)周时获得的抑制素A和循环血管生成因子水平与27周之前发生的PE显著相关,在24 - 28周时获得的水平与37周之前发生的PE也显著相关。然而,由于相应的敏感性和/或PPV较低,这些标志物可能对预测既往有PE和/或CHTN的女性发生PE在临床上没有用处。