George Stephen L
Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University School of Medicine, Cancer and Leukemia Group B, Statistical Center, 2424 Erwin Road, Durham, NC 27705, USA.
Clin Cancer Res. 2008 Oct 1;14(19):5954-8. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-07-4537.
The explosion of knowledge about the basic biological processes and the genetics of cancer has led to increasing optimism that this knowledge can be put to practical clinical use in the near future. Indeed, important examples of translational approaches can already be found in the areas of drug discovery and development, disease diagnosis and classification, selection of therapeutic regimens for individual patients, and designing clinical trials. These are important developments but, as with any new approach, there is a danger of unwarranted enthusiasm and premature clinical application of laboratory results based on insufficient evidence. To carry out the translation of knowledge into practice with maximal efficiency and effectiveness, it is essential to conduct studies with appropriate designs and analyses based on sound statistical principles. This article provides an overview of some of these principles applied to assay development, validation of predictive models, and the design of clinical trials for targeted therapies.
关于癌症基本生物学过程和遗传学的知识激增,这使得人们越来越乐观地认为,这些知识能够在不久的将来应用于实际临床。事实上,在药物发现与开发、疾病诊断与分类、为个体患者选择治疗方案以及设计临床试验等领域,已经可以找到转化医学方法的重要实例。这些都是重要的进展,但是,与任何新方法一样,存在基于证据不足而过度热情和过早将实验室结果应用于临床的风险。为了以最高的效率和效果将知识转化为实践,基于合理的统计原则进行具有适当设计和分析的研究至关重要。本文概述了其中一些应用于分析方法开发、预测模型验证以及靶向治疗临床试验设计的原则。