Jaramillo Paulina, Griffin W Michael, Matthews H Scott
Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213-3890, USA.
Environ Sci Technol. 2008 Oct 15;42(20):7559-65. doi: 10.1021/es8002074.
Liquid transportation fuels derived from coal and natural gas could helpthe United States reduce its dependence on petroleum. The fuels could be produced domestically or imported from fossil fuel-rich countries. The goal of this paper is to determine the life-cycle GHG emissions of coal- and natural gas-based Fischer-Tropsch (FT) liquids, as well as to compare production costs. The results show that the use of coal- or natural gas-based FT liquids will likely lead to significant increases in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions compared to petroleum-based fuels. In a best-case scenario, coal- or natural gas-based FT-liquids have emissions only comparable to petroleum-based fuels. In addition, the economic advantages of gas-to-liquid (GTL) fuels are not obvious: there is a narrow range of petroleum and natural gas prices at which GTL fuels would be competitive with petroleum-based fuels. CTLfuels are generally cheaper than petroleum-based fuels. However, recent reports suggest there is uncertainty about the availability of economically viable coal resources in the United States. If the U.S. has a goal of increasing its energy security, and at the same time significantly reducing its GHG emissions, neither CTL nor GTL consumption seem a reasonable path to follow.
源自煤炭和天然气的液体运输燃料有助于美国减少对石油的依赖。这些燃料可以在国内生产,也可以从富含化石燃料的国家进口。本文的目的是确定基于煤炭和天然气的费托(FT)液体燃料的生命周期温室气体排放量,并比较生产成本。结果表明,与石油基燃料相比,使用基于煤炭或天然气的FT液体燃料可能会导致温室气体(GHG)排放量显著增加。在最佳情况下,基于煤炭或天然气的FT液体燃料的排放量仅与石油基燃料相当。此外,气制液(GTL)燃料的经济优势并不明显:只有在很窄的石油和天然气价格范围内,GTL燃料才会与石油基燃料具有竞争力。煤制液(CTL)燃料通常比石油基燃料便宜。然而,最近的报告表明,美国经济上可行的煤炭资源的可用性存在不确定性。如果美国有增加其能源安全,同时大幅减少其温室气体排放的目标,那么CTL和GTL消费似乎都不是合理的途径。