Su Jenny C, Tran Alisia G T T, Wirtz John G, Langteau Rita A, Rothman Alexander J
Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
Psychol Sci. 2009 Jan;20(1):59-65. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9280.2008.02257.x.
Did the September 11 terrorist attacks elicit a subsequent increase in traffic fatalities? Gigerenzer (2004) argued that decreases in flying and increases in driving in the 3 months after the attacks led to 353 "surplus" traffic fatalities. We applied a more systematic analysis to the same data and found no evidence of a significant increase in miles driven or of a significant increase in traffic fatalities. However, we did find evidence for a regional effect of the attacks on driving behaviors. We hypothesized that geographic proximity to the attacks increased stress, which in turn decreased driving quality. Our analyses revealed that in the last 3 months of 2001, the Northeast exhibited a significant increase in traffic fatalities, as well as a significant increase in fatal accidents involving an alcohol- or drug-related citation. Increased stress related to physical proximity to the attacks may explain the increase in traffic fatalities.
9·11恐怖袭击事件是否导致了随后交通死亡人数的增加?吉仁泽(2004年)认为,袭击事件发生后的3个月内,飞行人数减少和驾车人数增加导致了353起“额外的”交通死亡事故。我们对相同的数据进行了更系统的分析,没有发现驾车里程显著增加或交通死亡人数显著增加的证据。然而,我们确实发现了袭击事件对驾驶行为的区域影响的证据。我们假设,与袭击事件的地理距离越近,压力就越大,这反过来又降低了驾驶质量。我们的分析表明,在2001年的最后3个月里,东北部地区的交通死亡人数显著增加,涉及酒精或毒品相关罚单的致命事故也显著增加。与袭击事件的实际距离相关的压力增加可能解释了交通死亡人数的增加。