Nagata T, Setoguchi S, Hemenway D, Perry M J
Takemi Program, Department of International Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Inj Prev. 2008 Feb;14(1):19-23. doi: 10.1136/ip.2007.015719.
To estimate the effect of a new road traffic law against alcohol-impaired driving in Japan.
Japan passed a new road traffic law in June 2002 intended to reduce alcohol-impaired driving by decreasing the permissible blood alcohol level and by increasing penalties. Using data collected from police reports, the number of traffic fatalities and injuries were analyzed by time series.
Simple comparisons of the average of all severe traffic injuries, traffic fatalities, alcohol-impaired traffic injuries, alcohol-impaired severe traffic injuries, and alcohol-impaired traffic fatalities per billion kilometers driven showed reductions after enactment of the new road traffic law in June 2002. The rate of alcohol-related traffic fatalities per billion kilometers driven decreased by 38% in the post-law period. In segmented regression analyses with adjustment for baseline trends, seasonality, and autocorrelation, all traffic injuries, severe traffic injuries, alcohol-impaired traffic injuries, alcohol-impaired severe traffic injuries, and alcohol-impaired traffic fatalities per billion kilometers driven declined significantly from baseline after the new traffic law.
Large, immediate public health benefits resulted from the new road traffic law in Japan.
评估日本一项针对酒后驾车的新道路交通法的效果。
日本于2002年6月通过了一项新道路交通法,旨在通过降低允许的血液酒精含量水平和加重处罚来减少酒后驾车行为。利用从警方报告中收集的数据,通过时间序列分析交通死亡和受伤人数。
对每十亿公里行驶里程中所有严重交通伤害、交通死亡、酒后驾车导致的交通伤害、酒后驾车导致的严重交通伤害以及酒后驾车导致的交通死亡的平均数进行简单比较,结果显示在2002年6月新道路交通法颁布后有所下降。每十亿公里行驶里程中与酒精相关的交通死亡率在法律实施后下降了38%。在对基线趋势、季节性和自相关性进行调整的分段回归分析中,新交通法实施后,每十亿公里行驶里程中的所有交通伤害、严重交通伤害、酒后驾车导致的交通伤害、酒后驾车导致的严重交通伤害以及酒后驾车导致的交通死亡均较基线显著下降。
日本的新道路交通法带来了巨大且即时的公共卫生效益。