Armstrong J R, Campbell H
Medical Research Council Laboratories, Fajara, Banjul, The Gambia.
Int J Epidemiol. 1991 Jun;20(2):424-9. doi: 10.1093/ije/20.2.424.
In a rural population-based cohort study of approximately 500 Gambian children under five years old followed for one year, incidence of acute lower respiratory infections (ALR) was related to various risk factors including parental smoking and regular carriage on the mother's back while cooking, a proxy measure for exposure to smoke from cooking fires. Two statistical analyses using a 'child-weeks at risk' approach were carried out, including and excluding multiple disease episodes in the same child. Weekly surveillance for ALRI found 75 episodes in 62 children. Stratified analyses using both approaches suggested father's smoking, and, for girls only, carriage on the mother's back while cooking and being part of a polygamous family were the main risk factors associated with infection: when multiple episodes occurring in the same child were excluded, not having a health card was an additional risk factor in children over a year old. Multiple logistic regression modelling of data from both approaches, including each of these risk factors and sex, age, village and season, suggested father's smoking, carriage on the mother's back while cooking and being part of a polygamous family increase risk of ALRI, the latter two for girls only. The analysis excluding multiple episodes in the same child also suggested that not having a health card is a risk factor for children aged 1-5 years. The difficulties in interpreting these findings are discussed.
在一项以农村人口为基础的队列研究中,对约500名五岁以下冈比亚儿童进行了为期一年的随访,急性下呼吸道感染(ALR)的发病率与多种风险因素相关,包括父母吸烟以及母亲做饭时经常将孩子背在背上,这是一种衡量接触烹饪火产生烟雾的替代指标。使用“儿童风险周数”方法进行了两项统计分析,包括和排除同一儿童的多次疾病发作情况。对急性下呼吸道感染(ALRI)的每周监测发现,62名儿童中有75次发作。使用这两种方法进行的分层分析表明,父亲吸烟以及(仅对女孩而言)母亲做饭时将孩子背在背上和属于多配偶家庭是与感染相关的主要风险因素:当排除同一儿童的多次发作情况时,没有健康卡是一岁以上儿童的另一个风险因素。对这两种方法的数据进行多元逻辑回归建模,包括这些风险因素以及性别、年龄、村庄和季节,结果表明父亲吸烟、母亲做饭时将孩子背在背上和属于多配偶家庭会增加急性下呼吸道感染(ALRI)的风险,后两者仅适用于女孩。排除同一儿童多次发作情况的分析还表明,没有健康卡是1至5岁儿童的一个风险因素。文中讨论了解释这些发现的困难。