Tay Richard, Barua Upal, Kattan Lina
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive, Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2N 1N4.
Accid Anal Prev. 2009 Mar;41(2):227-33. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2008.11.002. Epub 2008 Dec 13.
Hit-and-run in a collision is a punishable offence as it delays crash notification thereby delaying emergency response which increases the likelihood of traffic fatality. To obtain a better understanding of hit-and-run behavior, a logistic regression model has been applied in this study to identify the factors that might affect the occurrence of hit-and-run in fatal crashes in California, USA. Our results show that roadway functional class, routes, traffic flow, types of roadway section, speed limit, traffic control device, functioning of traffic control device, lighting condition, roadway alignment and roadway profile are important determinants that engineers can target to reduce hit-and-run in fatal crashes. In addition, targeted traffic enforcement should be performed on weekends and nighttime.
肇事逃逸在碰撞事故中是一种应受惩罚的罪行,因为它会延迟事故报告,从而延误应急响应,增加了交通死亡的可能性。为了更好地理解肇事逃逸行为,本研究应用了逻辑回归模型,以确定可能影响美国加利福尼亚州致命撞车事故中肇事逃逸发生的因素。我们的结果表明,道路功能等级、路线、交通流量、道路路段类型、限速、交通控制装置、交通控制装置的运行情况、照明条件、道路线形和道路纵断面是工程师们可以针对的重要决定因素,以减少致命撞车事故中的肇事逃逸情况。此外,应在周末和夜间进行有针对性的交通执法。